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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Brazil President
2022
The winner of the 2022 Brazilian election, to be held on October 2, 2022 (With a second round, if needed, on October 30, 2022)

$2,135,040 bet so far

LulaDaSilva details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧73.5-74.6%$872,496$648,423
Smarkets 🇬🇧73.0-74.6%$155,852$98,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸81.0-84.0%$97,636$33,174

74.4%

0.3%
Bolsonaro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
FTX 🌎20.0-20.6%$1,009,056$673,717
Betfair 🇬🇧24.4-25.6%$872,496$648,423
Smarkets 🇬🇧23.8-25.6%$155,852$98,553
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-19.0%$97,636$33,174

22.6%

-0.0%

3.0%



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