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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$15,299,231 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎28.4-30.3%$13,795,528
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-22.2%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-22.2%$475,644
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$35,280

28.6%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$475,644
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$35,280

16.6%

0.5%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$475,644
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$35,280

10.4%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-9.5%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$475,644
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$35,280

9.3%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.2%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$475,644

4.1%

0.4%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-4.0%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.7-4.2%$475,644

3.9%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.0%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-4.0%$475,644

3.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$475,644

2.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.8%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$475,644

2.0%

-0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$475,644

1.9%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$475,644

1.5%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$475,644

1.3%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$475,644

1.0%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$475,644

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$475,644

0.7%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$475,644

0.6%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$475,644

0.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$475,644

0.4%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$475,644

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$475,644

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$992,778
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$475,644

0.1%

-0.0%

9.5%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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