Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:32PM EDT on Mar 28, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$24,085,900 bet so far

Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-45.9%$16,965,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$4,393,005
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.3-46.3%$2,728,625

45.8%

-1.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧40.0-40.3%$16,965,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$4,393,005
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.7-41.7%$2,728,625

41.6%

0.7%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$16,965,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$2,728,625

2.9%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$16,965,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$2,728,625

2.4%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%$16,965,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$4,393,005
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$2,728,625

2.1%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$16,965,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$2,728,625

1.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$16,965,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.0%$2,728,625

0.9%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$16,965,603
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$2,728,625

0.6%

0.2%

2.4%




Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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