Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:41PM EDT on Aug 10, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$39,554,824 bet so far
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧97.5-98.4%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧95.5-96.5%$2,596,658

97.0%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-5.5%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-1.9%$2,596,658

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$2,596,658

0.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$2,596,658

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$2,596,658

0.3%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$2,596,658

0.3%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$2,596,658

0.3%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$36,958,166
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$2,596,658

0.1%

+0.0%

0.3%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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