Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:01PM EDT on Apr 25, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$37,072,134 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎89.0-90.0%$20,436,828
Betfair 🇬🇧86.2-87.0%$10,003,370
PredictIt 🇺🇸88.1-89.1%$5,642,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧87.0-89.3%$987,424

88.2%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$20,436,828
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$10,003,370
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.9-5.9%$5,642,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$987,424

3.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.7%$20,436,828
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$10,003,370
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-4.9%$5,642,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-3.3%$987,424

3.0%

-0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$10,003,370
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$5,642,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$987,424

0.8%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$10,003,370
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$987,424

0.7%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-2.0%$10,003,370
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,642,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$987,424

0.7%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$10,003,370
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$5,642,113
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$987,424

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$10,003,370
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$987,424

0.1%

+0.0%

3.3%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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