Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:43AM EDT on Mar 22, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$2,458,268 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧66.7-68.0%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧68.0-70.9%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸67.0-68.0%$553,156$33,246

67.5%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-8.0%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-8.0%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.8-8.7%$553,156$33,246

7.1%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-7.4%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-7.7%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.7-10.7%$553,156$33,246

6.7%

0.5%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.8%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-4.2%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.9-4.9%$553,156$33,246

3.1%

-0.4%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-3.9%$553,156$33,246

2.3%

-0.1%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-2.0%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.0%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.9-2.9%$553,156$33,246

1.4%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.9%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$553,156$33,246

0.7%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$220,578$42,405
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.9-2.9%$553,156$33,246

0.5%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$220,578$42,405

0.4%

+0.0%
Yang details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,684,534$585,245
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$220,578$42,405

0.1%

+0.0%

10.2%
GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$3,566,326 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧50.5-51.0%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-51.8%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.7-37.5%$1,105,508$20,306

50.5%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧33.8-34.5%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧34.0-35.0%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.4-41.3%$1,105,508$20,306

34.3%

-0.9%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-5.4%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-4.2%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.6-7.5%$1,105,508$20,306

4.3%

0.7%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-3.3%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.8%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.8-4.7%$1,105,508$20,306

2.5%

0.3%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.7-5.6%$1,105,508$20,306

1.8%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.8%$1,105,508$20,306

1.7%

-0.0%
Crenshaw details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-2.4%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$391,409$52,957

1.1%

0.7%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.5%

+0.0%
RickScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.7%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.3%

0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.3%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.2%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$391,409$52,957

0.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$2,069,411$1,101,824
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$391,409$52,957
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,105,508$20,306

0.1%

-0.0%

0.1%
US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$4,738,197 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧29.0-29.4%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧29.4-31.8%$1,410,695$65,214
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$77,660$8,182

29.4%

-0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧22.2-22.7%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-24.4%$1,410,695$65,214
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.4-26.3%$77,660$8,182

22.5%

0.7%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-21.7%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.8-22.7%$1,410,695$65,214
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.3-29.3%$77,660$8,182

21.6%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.6%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.6%$1,410,695$65,214
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.9-5.9%$77,660$8,182

3.4%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$1,410,695$65,214

2.6%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$1,410,695$65,214

2.2%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$1,410,695$65,214

1.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,410,695$65,214

1.8%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$1,410,695$65,214

0.9%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.8%

-0.5%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,410,695$65,214

0.5%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,410,695$65,214

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-24.4%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,410,695$65,214

0.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.2%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.2%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.1%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.1%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.1%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-5.0%$3,249,842$784,535
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,410,695$65,214

0.0%

+0.0%

10.8%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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