Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:34PM EDT on Jun 03, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,172,594 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.6-58.6%$5,110,026
Polymarket 🌎53.0-54.0%$2,641,244
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.2-61.2%$326,112
Betfair 🇬🇧51.4-51.9%$88,580
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.1-51.6%$6,678

55.1%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.4-42.4%$5,110,026
Polymarket 🌎46.0-47.0%$2,641,244
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.8-39.8%$326,112
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.6%$88,580
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-49.3%$6,678

44.9%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:01PM EDT on Jun 03, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$640,740,068 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.4-16.5%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-15.6%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,160,309
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$218,042

17.5%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.6-15.7%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,160,309
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.9%$218,042

16.6%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.2-14.3%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,160,309

15.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.9-7.0%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.1%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,160,309
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$218,042

6.7%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.5-5.6%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,160,309
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$218,042

4.3%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$218,042

3.3%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,160,309
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$218,042

3.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,160,309
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$218,042

2.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$218,042

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.4%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$218,042

1.8%

-0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$1,243,947
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,160,309
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$218,042

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.0%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$218,042

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$218,042

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$218,042

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$218,042

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$218,042

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$615,371,291
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$22,750,884
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,042

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$218,042

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,042

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,243,947
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$218,042

0.1%

-0.0%

19.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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