Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:22AM EDT on Sep 15, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$13,645,666 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$8,590,427
Polymarket 🌎52.5-53.5%$4,452,864
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.3-50.2%$431,321
Betfair 🇬🇧49.6-50.6%$171,291

51.3%

1.6%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$8,590,427
Polymarket 🌎46.5-47.5%$4,452,864
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.3-51.2%$431,321
Betfair 🇬🇧49.1-50.6%$171,291

48.7%

-1.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 8:16AM EDT on Sep 15, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$749,537,981 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.0-23.1%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$261,875

21.5%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.5%$261,875

11.6%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$261,875

11.0%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$261,875

9.9%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.7-7.8%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.4-7.6%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.0%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-9.1%$261,875

8.1%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$261,875

3.5%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.5%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$261,875

3.1%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$261,875

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$261,875

2.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$261,875

1.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$261,875

0.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$261,875

0.8%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.1%$1,531,176
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,328,329
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$261,875

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$705,799,804
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$261,875

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$261,875

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$261,875

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$261,875

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$261,875

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$261,875

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$261,875

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$705,799,804
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,616,892
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$261,875

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$261,875

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$261,875

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$261,875

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,531,176
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$261,875

0.1%

+0.0%

18.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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