Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:07PM EDT on Aug 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,113,481 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$7,552,470
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,013,468
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.9-53.9%$402,589
Betfair 🇬🇧46.3-47.2%$144,966

50.9%

-0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$7,552,470
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,013,468
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.1-47.1%$402,589
Betfair 🇬🇧52.9-53.5%$144,966

49.1%

0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:48PM EDT on Aug 23, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$733,085,204 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.3-23.4%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$254,194

20.2%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.1-14.2%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.6%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.5%$254,194

12.3%

1.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.8-10.9%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.6%$254,194

11.2%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$254,194

10.0%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.1-8.2%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.7%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.6%$254,194

9.2%

-0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$254,194

3.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.6%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$254,194

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$254,194

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$254,194

2.3%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$254,194

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.6%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$254,194

1.7%

0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.8%$1,498,785
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,280,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.4%$254,194

1.0%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$254,194

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$692,060,360
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$254,194

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$254,194

0.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$254,194

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$254,194

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,194

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$254,194

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,194

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$692,060,360
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,991,879
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,194

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,194

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,194

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$254,194

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,498,785
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$254,194

0.1%

+0.0%

16.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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