Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:00PM EDT on Jul 26, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,944,349 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.4-56.4%$6,141,582
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,320,081
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$355,657
Betfair 🇬🇧53.7-54.6%$119,545
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.5-54.0%$7,637

56.1%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.6-44.6%$6,141,582
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,320,081
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$355,657
Betfair 🇬🇧45.4-46.3%$119,545
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.0-47.6%$7,637

43.9%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:54PM EDT on Jul 26, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$708,140,372 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.2-20.3%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-23.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$243,102

18.8%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.4-12.5%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$243,102

13.3%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.9%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.8%$243,102

12.7%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.5%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.8%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-13.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.9%$243,102

9.9%

0.5%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.8-8.9%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-11.0%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$243,102

9.8%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.1-5.3%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$243,102

3.9%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.3%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$243,102

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$243,102

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.3%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$243,102

2.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$243,102

1.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$243,102

1.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.8%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$1,347,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,239,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$243,102

1.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$243,102

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$671,395,217
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$243,102

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$243,102

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$243,102

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$243,102

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$243,102

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$671,395,217
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,917,244
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$243,102

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$243,102

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$243,102

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$243,102

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$243,102

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$243,102

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,347,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$243,102

0.1%

+0.0%

12.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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