Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:23AM EDT on Aug 20, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,916,484 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.5-52.5%$7,418,459
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$3,956,660
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.7-54.6%$398,056
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-49.0%$143,309

51.0%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.5-48.5%$7,418,459
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$3,956,660
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.9-46.8%$398,056
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-51.8%$143,309

49.0%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:11AM EDT on Aug 20, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$730,064,515 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.5-20.6%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$253,434

20.0%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.9-12.0%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$253,434

12.0%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-15.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-12.2%$253,434

11.3%

0.7%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$253,434

9.9%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.2-8.4%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-11.4%$253,434

9.7%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$253,434

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.5%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$253,434

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$253,434

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.7%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$253,434

2.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.7%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.4%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$253,434

2.1%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%$253,434

1.4%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$253,434

1.1%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,487,470
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,273,531
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$253,434

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$689,717,017
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$253,434

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$253,434

0.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$253,434

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$689,717,017
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,341,663
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,487,470
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%

16.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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