Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:23AM EST on Nov 10, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$794,848,076 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.2%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$319,659

19.3%

-0.5%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.5%$319,659

13.9%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.1-11.2%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.8%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$319,659

9.9%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.1-8.2%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.4%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$319,659

8.7%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.5%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.0%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$319,659

8.7%

-0.5%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.9-6.3%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.6-7.9%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.6%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$319,659

6.1%

0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.7%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-3.7%$319,659

3.1%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.7%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$319,659

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$319,659

2.9%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.3%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$319,659

1.6%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.4%$1,660,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,539,595
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.7%$319,659

0.8%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$319,659

0.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$319,659

0.6%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$737,961,955
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$319,659

0.5%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$319,659

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$319,659

0.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$319,659

0.3%

-0.3%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$319,659

0.2%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$319,659

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$319,659

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$737,961,955
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$53,370,211
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$319,659

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$319,659

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$319,659

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$319,659

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,660,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$319,659

0.1%

+0.0%

18.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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