Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:10PM EDT on Oct 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$19,395,274 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸63.4-64.4%$12,719,103
Polymarket 🌎64.0-65.0%$5,921,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸64.7-65.7%$515,641
Betfair 🇬🇧63.3-63.7%$239,535

64.3%

0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.6-36.6%$12,719,103
Polymarket 🌎35.0-36.0%$5,921,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.3-35.3%$515,641
Betfair 🇬🇧36.2-36.8%$239,535

35.7%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:39PM EDT on Oct 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$760,165,032 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$264,585

19.7%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-10.0%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$264,585

11.9%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.4-10.5%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$264,585

10.5%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-8.1%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.7%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$264,585

8.8%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.9-9.0%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.6-8.4%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-8.7%$264,585

8.6%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.4%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$264,585

3.6%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$264,585

3.2%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$264,585

3.2%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.9%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,585

2.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$264,585

1.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.8%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$264,585

1.1%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.3%$1,535,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,359,800
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$264,585

0.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.1%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,585

0.7%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$713,620,673
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$264,585

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,585

0.5%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,585

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,585

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,585

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,585

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,585

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$713,620,673
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,385,041
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$264,585

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,585

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,585

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,585

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,535,146
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$264,585

0.1%

+0.0%

20.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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