Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:06PM EDT on Oct 21, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$25,283,018 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸65.7-66.7%$16,652,050
Polymarket 🌎66.0-67.0%$7,665,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸64.1-65.0%$619,594
Betfair 🇬🇧65.9-66.4%$346,275

65.8%

1.6%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸33.3-34.3%$16,652,050
Polymarket 🌎33.0-34.0%$7,665,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.0-35.9%$619,594
Betfair 🇬🇧33.6-34.1%$346,275

34.2%

-1.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:35PM EDT on Oct 21, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$767,318,491 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$274,460

19.6%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.9-13.0%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-9.5%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-16.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$274,460

12.1%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.5%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$274,460

10.3%

0.4%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.3%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.8-9.2%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$274,460

9.8%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-8.6%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-9.9%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.0%$274,460

8.6%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.3%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$274,460

3.6%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$274,460

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.8%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$274,460

3.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-3.0%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$274,460

2.4%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$274,460

1.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$274,460

1.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.5%$274,460

0.9%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,578,963
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,415,876
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$274,460

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$718,155,923
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$274,460

0.7%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$274,460

0.5%

-0.3%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$274,460

0.4%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$274,460

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$274,460

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$274,460

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$274,460

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,155,923
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$45,893,176
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$274,460

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,578,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$274,460

0.1%

+0.0%

19.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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