Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:27PM EDT on Mar 20, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$3,790,326 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$2,557,111
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$1,008,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.7-54.7%$198,324
Betfair 🇬🇧47.5-48.5%$21,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.0-48.7%$4,717

50.0%

1.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$2,557,111
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$1,008,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.8-46.8%$198,324
Betfair 🇬🇧51.5-52.5%$21,937
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.7-53.6%$4,717

50.0%

-1.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:15PM EDT on Mar 20, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$447,021,500 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-18.1%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-20.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$880,973
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$190,646

20.1%

-0.0%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.7-19.9%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$880,973
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$190,646

20.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.2-12.4%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$880,973

14.1%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-5.4%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$880,973
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.3%$190,646

5.9%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$880,973
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$190,646

3.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.2%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$880,973
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$190,646

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$880,973
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$190,646

2.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$190,646

2.5%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,073,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$880,973
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$190,646

2.1%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$190,646

1.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$190,646

1.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.4%$190,646

1.3%

0.3%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$190,646

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$190,646

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$190,646

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$432,697,766
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,180,843
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$190,646

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$190,646

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$190,646

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$190,646

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$190,646

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$190,646

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$190,646

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$190,646

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,073,769
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$190,646

0.1%

+0.0%

17.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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