Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:46PM EDT on Jul 10, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,381,186 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$5,783,624
Polymarket 🌎53.5-54.5%$3,142,013
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$351,562
Betfair 🇬🇧53.5-54.7%$96,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.6-54.2%$7,334

55.5%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$5,783,624
Polymarket 🌎45.5-46.5%$3,142,013
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$351,562
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.3%$96,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.5-46.8%$7,334

44.5%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:12PM EDT on Jul 10, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$682,829,211 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,207,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$233,032

18.9%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.6-13.8%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,207,258

14.6%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$1,207,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.8-14.3%$233,032

13.3%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.8%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.8%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,207,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$233,032

8.4%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.2%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$233,032

3.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$233,032

3.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$233,032

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,207,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$233,032

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.4%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$233,032

2.4%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$233,032

1.9%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$1,312,460
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,207,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$233,032

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$233,032

1.2%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$233,032

1.0%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$233,032

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$233,032

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$654,095,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$25,982,692
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$233,032

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$233,032

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$233,032

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$233,032

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$233,032

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$233,032

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$233,032

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$233,032

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,312,460
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$233,032

0.1%

-0.0%

21.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd