Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:18PM EDT on May 27, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,821,495 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$4,932,480
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$2,492,799
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.9-55.9%$308,654
Betfair 🇬🇧50.7-52.0%$81,733
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.8-52.1%$5,851

52.4%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$4,932,480
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$2,492,799
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.1-45.1%$308,654
Betfair 🇬🇧48.0-49.4%$81,733
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.3-51.8%$5,851

47.6%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:41PM EDT on May 27, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$628,308,979 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,147,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-17.2%$217,036

18.4%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,147,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.5%$217,036

17.0%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.5%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,147,963

14.8%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-6.1%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.9%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,147,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$217,036

6.4%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.2%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.1-6.5%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,147,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$217,036

4.6%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$217,036

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,147,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$217,036

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,147,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$217,036

2.7%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-3.7%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$217,036

2.7%

0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$217,036

2.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.4%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$217,036

1.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,229,009
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,147,963
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$217,036

1.6%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,036

1.0%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,036

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,036

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,036

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$603,639,853
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$22,082,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,036

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,036

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,036

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,036

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,229,009
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,036

0.1%

-0.0%

17.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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