Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:05PM EST on Nov 02, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$46,489,214 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸73.3-74.3%$28,883,457
Polymarket 🌎73.7-74.7%$16,598,695
PredictIt 🇺🇸74.0-75.0%$831,769
Betfair 🇬🇧74.5-75.0%$590,500

74.3%

3.6%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸25.7-26.7%$28,883,457
Polymarket 🌎25.3-26.3%$16,598,695
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-27.0%$831,769
Betfair 🇬🇧24.9-25.6%$590,500

25.7%

-3.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 53-47. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:29PM EST on Nov 02, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$777,610,466 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$279,518

18.5%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.3-12.5%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.7%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.2%$279,518

12.0%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-12.1%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$279,518

11.5%

0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.8%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-10.0%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$279,518

10.5%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.1-9.4%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.3%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.0%$279,518

9.5%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.5%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$279,518

3.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$279,518

3.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$279,518

3.1%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.3%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$279,518

2.3%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$279,518

1.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$279,518

0.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$279,518

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,597,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,449,882
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$279,518

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$726,681,477
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$279,518

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$279,518

0.4%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$279,518

0.4%

-0.1%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$279,518

0.3%

0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.4%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$279,518

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$279,518

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$279,518

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$279,518

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$726,681,477
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$47,606,222
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$279,518

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$279,518

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$279,518

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,597,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$279,518

0.1%

+0.0%

18.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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