Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:55PM EDT on Mar 10, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,093,488 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$2,093,488

55.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$2,093,488

44.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:54PM EDT on Mar 10, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$396,781,875 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.2-21.3%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$849,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.8%$184,482

20.8%

-0.8%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$849,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$184,482

19.7%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.7-13.9%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.9%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$849,606

13.9%

2.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-6.3%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$849,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$184,482

6.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$849,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$184,482

3.4%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$849,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$184,482

3.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$849,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$184,482

2.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,059,194
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$849,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$184,482

2.1%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$184,482

1.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$184,482

1.7%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$184,482

1.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.5%$184,482

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$184,482

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$184,482

0.8%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$184,482

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$184,482

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$184,482

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$384,416,334
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$10,275,144
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$184,482

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$184,482

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,482

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,482

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,482

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,482

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,059,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,482

0.1%

+0.0%

17.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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