Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:49PM EDT on May 24, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,737,099 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$4,878,953
Polymarket 🌎51.5-52.5%$2,463,668
PredictIt 🇺🇸55.6-56.6%$307,662
Betfair 🇬🇧50.4-52.2%$81,006
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.6-51.9%$5,851

52.3%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$4,878,953
Polymarket 🌎47.5-48.5%$2,463,668
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.9-44.9%$307,662
Betfair 🇬🇧47.7-49.6%$81,006
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.8-51.6%$5,851

47.7%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:47PM EDT on May 24, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$623,518,037 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.9-19.0%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$1,145,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$216,248

19.2%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.2%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,145,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$216,248

17.5%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,145,860

14.6%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.5-6.6%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-5.7%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,145,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$216,248

6.3%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.2-6.4%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.9-6.1%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,145,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$216,248

4.6%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$216,248

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,145,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$216,248

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,145,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$216,248

2.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$216,248

2.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$216,248

2.5%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.3%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$216,248

1.6%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.3%$1,217,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,145,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$216,248

1.5%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$216,248

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$216,248

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$216,248

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$216,248

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$599,021,582
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,916,784
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$216,248

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$216,248

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$216,248

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.3%

0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,217,563
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$216,248

0.1%

-0.0%

16.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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