Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:53PM EDT on Jun 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,651,635 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.4-58.4%$5,434,332
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$2,782,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.8-59.8%$337,258
Betfair 🇬🇧55.3-57.9%$90,875
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.8-54.0%$7,303

56.7%

-0.5%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.6-42.6%$5,434,332
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$2,782,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.2-41.2%$337,258
Betfair 🇬🇧42.1-44.7%$90,875
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.4-46.8%$7,303

43.3%

0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:33PM EDT on Jun 23, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$664,174,209 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.1-20.2%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-15.2%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,186,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$228,518

18.3%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.3-15.4%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-15.6%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,186,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$228,518

15.6%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.8-14.9%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,186,024

14.7%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,186,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$228,518

6.8%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.2%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,186,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$228,518

3.9%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.3%$228,518

3.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,186,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$228,518

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,186,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$228,518

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$228,518

2.2%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$228,518

2.1%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$228,518

1.1%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$1,263,994
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,186,024
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$228,518

1.0%

-0.4%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$228,518

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$228,518

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$228,518

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$637,299,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,198,307
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,518

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$228,518

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$228,518

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,518

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,518

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,518

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,518

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,518

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,263,994
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,518

0.1%

-0.0%

21.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd