Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:12PM EDT on Aug 20, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,955,746 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$7,437,704
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$3,976,571
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.4-54.4%$398,467
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-49.0%$143,024

51.2%

0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$7,437,704
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$3,976,571
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.6-46.6%$398,467
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-51.8%$143,024

48.8%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:47PM EDT on Aug 20, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$730,432,703 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.4-20.5%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$253,434

20.0%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.1-11.2%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$253,434

11.9%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-12.5%$253,434

10.9%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$253,434

9.8%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.6%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.3%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-11.4%$253,434

9.7%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.2-4.4%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$253,434

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.5%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$253,434

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$253,434

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$253,434

2.4%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-2.1%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.5%$253,434

2.0%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$253,434

1.3%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$253,434

1.0%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$1,486,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,274,150
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$253,434

0.9%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$689,998,448
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$253,434

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$253,434

0.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$253,434

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$689,998,448
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,420,956
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,486,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%

17.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd