Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:44PM EDT on Aug 13, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,130,372 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$6,771,182
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$3,843,368
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.7-54.6%$378,574
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$137,248

50.1%

0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$6,771,182
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$3,843,368
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.9-46.8%$378,574
Betfair 🇬🇧51.3-52.1%$137,248

49.9%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:17PM EDT on Aug 13, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$721,191,433 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.0-23.1%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$248,211

20.1%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.3-12.4%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$248,211

12.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$248,211

11.1%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.8-12.9%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.3%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.6%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-12.5%$248,211

10.8%

1.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.9%$248,211

10.5%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-5.0%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$248,211

3.8%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$248,211

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$248,211

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-4.1%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$248,211

2.6%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-1.9%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.9%$248,211

2.2%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$248,211

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$248,211

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$681,858,810
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$248,211

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.5%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.5%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,442,845
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,264,213
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$248,211

0.8%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$248,211

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$248,211

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$248,211

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,211

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,211

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$248,211

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$681,858,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,377,354
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,211

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,211

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,211

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$248,211

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,442,845
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$248,211

0.1%

+0.0%

14.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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