Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:24AM EDT on Jun 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,515,532 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$5,346,245
Polymarket 🌎55.0-56.0%$2,736,270
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$335,384
Betfair 🇬🇧51.7-52.3%$90,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-52.1%$7,262

54.9%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$5,346,245
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$2,736,270
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$335,384
Betfair 🇬🇧47.5-48.5%$90,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.4-49.8%$7,262

45.1%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:25AM EDT on Jun 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$653,161,248 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.0-15.1%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.9-15.6%$222,111

16.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.3-14.4%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-16.1%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.1%$222,111

15.4%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.8-14.9%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-18.0%$1,180,759

15.3%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.6-5.8%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.3-6.6%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.3%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$222,111

6.8%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.3%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$222,111

4.1%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.7%$222,111

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$222,111

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$222,111

2.9%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$222,111

2.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$222,111

2.1%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.6%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$222,111

1.4%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,267,797
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$222,111

1.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$222,111

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$222,111

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$222,111

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$627,171,868
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,327,803
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$222,111

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$222,111

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$222,111

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$222,111

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,111

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,111

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,111

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$222,111

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,267,797
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$222,111

0.1%

-0.0%

21.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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