Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:59PM EST on Feb 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$1,727,910 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$1,727,911

59.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$1,727,911

40.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:42PM EST on Feb 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$355,292,037 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.6-21.8%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧20.8-22.2%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$823,618
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.8-22.7%$180,393

22.6%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.1-17.2%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$823,618
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$180,393

19.0%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.3-7.6%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-8.0%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$823,618

9.4%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-6.0%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-6.3%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$823,618
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-7.7%$180,393

6.5%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.4%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$823,618
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$180,393

3.5%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.5%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$823,618
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$180,393

3.4%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$823,618
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$180,393

2.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,033,755
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$823,618
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$180,393

2.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$180,393

1.8%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$180,393

1.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$180,393

1.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$180,393

1.4%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$180,393

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$180,393

0.8%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$180,393

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$344,153,873
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,101,176
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$180,393

0.5%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$180,393

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$180,393

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$180,393

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$180,393

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$180,393

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$180,393

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$180,393

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,033,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$180,393

0.1%

+0.0%

19.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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