Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:46PM EDT on Jun 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,580,825 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,387,759
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$2,761,008
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.7-60.7%$336,719
Betfair 🇬🇧52.5-53.0%$90,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.9-52.8%$7,300

55.6%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,387,759
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$2,761,008
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.8-40.8%$336,719
Betfair 🇬🇧46.8-47.7%$90,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.5-48.9%$7,300

44.4%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:47PM EDT on Jun 18, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$658,317,579 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,183,538
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.1%$226,630

17.2%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.6-15.7%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$1,183,538

15.6%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,183,538
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.7%$226,630

15.6%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.6%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.3-6.4%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.5%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,183,538
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$226,630

6.8%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.2%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,183,538
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$226,630

4.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$226,630

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,183,538
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$226,630

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,183,538
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$226,630

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$226,630

2.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.6%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$226,630

1.8%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,262,143
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,183,538
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$226,630

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.4%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$226,630

1.2%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$226,630

1.0%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$226,630

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$226,630

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$226,630

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$631,868,462
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,777,645
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,630

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$226,630

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,630

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,630

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,630

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,630

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,630

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,262,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,630

0.1%

-0.0%

20.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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