Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:26PM EDT on Jul 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,872,836 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$6,108,262
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,283,939
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.6-61.6%$353,988
Betfair 🇬🇧53.7-54.9%$119,017
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.5-54.0%$7,630

56.1%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$6,108,262
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,283,939
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.4-39.4%$353,988
Betfair 🇬🇧44.4-46.9%$119,017
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.0-47.6%$7,630

43.9%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:51PM EDT on Jul 23, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$705,765,125 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.9-20.0%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$239,554

19.0%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$239,554

14.4%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$239,554

13.3%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.1-9.2%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.7%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$239,554

9.3%

0.4%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.8-9.0%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-10.0%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-7.7%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$239,554

8.9%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.8%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$239,554

3.8%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$239,554

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$239,554

2.8%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.4%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$239,554

2.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$239,554

2.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$239,554

1.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.8%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,334,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,231,522
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$239,554

1.6%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$239,554

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$669,513,057
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$239,554

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$239,554

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$239,554

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$239,554

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$669,513,057
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$33,446,093
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$239,554

0.3%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$239,554

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$239,554

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$239,554

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$239,554

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$239,554

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$239,554

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,334,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$239,554

0.1%

+0.0%

12.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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