Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:09AM EDT on Aug 17, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,328,353 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$6,919,192
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$3,881,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.4-53.4%$387,754
Betfair 🇬🇧49.1-50.1%$140,433

50.6%

0.6%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.5-49.5%$6,919,192
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$3,881,384
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.6-47.6%$387,754
Betfair 🇬🇧50.1-50.8%$140,433

49.4%

-0.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:50AM EDT on Aug 17, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$726,478,928 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.0-23.1%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$253,434

20.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$253,434

12.6%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.8%$253,434

11.0%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.7%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.9%$253,434

10.2%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$253,434

9.2%

0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$253,434

3.3%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.8%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$253,434

3.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$253,434

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.0%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$253,434

2.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-1.9%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$253,434

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$253,434

1.1%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$253,434

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$686,635,617
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$253,434

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,467,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,268,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$253,434

0.8%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$253,434

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.3%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$253,434

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$686,635,617
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,861,453
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$253,434

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$253,434

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,467,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$253,434

0.1%

+0.0%

16.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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