Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:34PM EDT on Apr 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$5,204,015 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$3,134,362
Polymarket 🌎55.0-56.0%$1,789,031
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.5-50.5%$248,507
Betfair 🇬🇧50.4-54.3%$27,327
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.2-55.5%$4,788

51.8%

0.9%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$3,134,362
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$1,789,031
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.5-51.5%$248,507
Betfair 🇬🇧45.8-49.4%$27,327
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.6-49.7%$4,788

48.2%

-0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:08PM EDT on Apr 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$536,844,264 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.7-18.8%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$965,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$206,391

19.3%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.7-16.9%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$965,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$206,391

18.6%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.8%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-8.7%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$965,512

11.3%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-4.8%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$965,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.9%$206,391

6.0%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.6%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.3%$206,391

3.1%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-3.4%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$965,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$206,391

3.0%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.4%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$965,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$206,391

3.0%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.8%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$965,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$206,391

2.6%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,134,584
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$965,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$206,391

2.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.9%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.8%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$206,391

1.7%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$206,391

1.7%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$206,391

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$206,391

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$206,391

0.6%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$206,391

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$206,391

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$206,391

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$518,248,094
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$16,291,765
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$206,391

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$206,391

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$206,391

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$206,391

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$206,391

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$206,391

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,134,584
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$206,391

0.1%

+0.0%

22.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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