Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:44PM EST on Feb 27, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$1,720,214 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$1,720,214

59.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$1,720,214

40.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:42PM EST on Feb 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$350,366,850 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.7-21.9%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-21.7%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$821,718
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-22.2%$179,601

22.6%

-0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.4-17.5%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-18.2%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$821,718
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-18.2%$179,601

19.1%

-0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.1%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-8.7%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$821,718

9.4%

0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-6.2%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-6.3%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$821,718
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$179,601

6.4%

0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.4%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$821,718
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$179,601

3.6%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.8%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$821,718
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$179,601

3.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$821,718
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$179,601

2.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,030,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$821,718
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$179,601

2.2%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$179,601

1.9%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$179,601

1.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$179,601

1.4%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$179,601

1.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$179,601

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$179,601

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$179,601

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$179,601

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$339,315,106
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,022,642
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$179,601

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$179,601

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$179,601

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$179,601

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,601

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,601

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,601

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,030,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,601

0.1%

+0.0%

19.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd