Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:47PM EST on Feb 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$1,694,661 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$1,694,661

59.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$1,694,661

40.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:42PM EST on Feb 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$341,952,554 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.7-22.9%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧21.7-22.2%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$817,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.7-22.7%$179,144

23.0%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$817,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$179,144

19.5%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-8.2%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.1%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$817,630

8.8%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-6.2%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$817,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$179,144

6.3%

0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$817,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$179,144

3.5%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.4%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$817,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$179,144

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.1%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$817,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$179,144

2.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$1,027,075
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$817,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$179,144

2.1%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$179,144

1.8%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$179,144

1.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$179,144

1.4%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$179,144

1.3%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$179,144

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$179,144

0.7%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$179,144

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$179,144

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$331,207,134
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$8,731,510
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$179,144

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$179,144

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$179,144

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$179,144

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,144

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,144

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,144

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,027,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$179,144

0.1%

+0.0%

20.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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