Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:51PM EDT on Jul 08, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,318,530 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$5,739,416
Polymarket 🌎52.8-54.8%$3,127,700
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.0-61.8%$348,890
Betfair 🇬🇧55.3-56.2%$95,198
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.2%$7,326

56.2%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$5,739,416
Polymarket 🌎45.7-46.7%$3,127,700
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.6-40.6%$348,890
Betfair 🇬🇧43.9-44.7%$95,198
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.3%$7,326

43.8%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:27PM EDT on Jul 08, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$680,457,215 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.2%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-17.5%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,206,594
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$232,993

18.9%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.7-13.8%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,206,594

14.6%

-0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.9-12.0%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-13.5%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,206,594
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.9%$232,993

13.1%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.6-8.8%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧6.7-7.4%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,206,594
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-10.2%$232,993

8.4%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.6%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$1,206,594
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$232,993

3.4%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,206,594
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$232,993

3.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.4%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$232,993

3.1%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,206,594
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$232,993

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.4%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$232,993

2.1%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$232,993

2.0%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$1,302,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,206,594
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$232,993

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$232,993

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.2%$232,993

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$232,993

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$232,993

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$651,978,943
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$25,735,853
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,993

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$232,993

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$232,993

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,993

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,993

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,993

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,993

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,993

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,302,906
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$232,993

0.1%

-0.0%

21.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd