Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:26AM EDT on Oct 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$28,779,888 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸62.6-63.6%$18,682,716
Polymarket 🌎66.0-67.0%$9,031,339
PredictIt 🇺🇸64.4-67.3%$670,621
Betfair 🇬🇧66.4-67.7%$395,370

65.6%

-1.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.4-37.4%$18,682,716
Polymarket 🌎33.0-34.0%$9,031,339
PredictIt 🇺🇸33.7-34.7%$670,621
Betfair 🇬🇧32.3-33.6%$395,370

34.4%

1.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:25AM EDT on Oct 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$768,358,878 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.5-20.6%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$276,627

19.7%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-9.1%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-14.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.8%$276,627

11.4%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$276,627

10.8%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.6-9.1%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$276,627

9.8%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-9.2%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$276,627

8.9%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.9%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$276,627

3.5%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$276,627

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.6%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$276,627

3.0%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.7%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.7%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$276,627

2.4%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$276,627

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$276,627

1.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.5%$276,627

0.9%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.2%$1,581,076
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,418,700
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$276,627

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$718,836,157
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$276,627

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$276,627

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$276,627

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$276,627

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$276,627

0.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$276,627

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$276,627

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$276,627

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$276,627

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$276,627

0.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,836,157
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$46,246,318
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$276,627

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,581,076
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$276,627

0.1%

+0.0%

19.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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