Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:02PM EDT on Jul 31, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,181,508 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.5-54.5%$6,247,287
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,442,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸57.4-58.4%$361,089
Betfair 🇬🇧54.1-55.0%$122,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.5-54.0%$7,679

55.2%

-0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.5-46.5%$6,247,287
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,442,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.6-42.6%$361,089
Betfair 🇬🇧45.1-45.9%$122,755
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.0-47.6%$7,679

44.8%

0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:46PM EDT on Jul 31, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$712,031,981 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$244,309

18.9%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$244,309

13.3%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.2-11.3%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.8%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-13.9%$244,309

12.7%

0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$244,309

10.8%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.6-8.9%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.9%$244,309

10.5%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.8%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$244,309

3.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.1%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$244,309

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$244,309

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.2%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$244,309

2.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$244,309

1.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$244,309

1.4%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.7%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$1,392,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,243,741
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$244,309

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$244,309

1.1%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$674,883,182
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$244,309

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$244,309

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$244,309

0.4%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$244,309

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,309

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$244,309

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$674,883,182
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$34,268,271
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,309

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$244,309

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,309

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,309

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,309

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,392,065
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$244,309

0.1%

+0.0%

12.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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