Odds update every minute | Last updated: 10:41AM EDT on May 29, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,911,692 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$4,975,815
Polymarket 🌎53.0-54.0%$2,533,766
PredictIt 🇺🇸57.1-59.1%$313,732
Betfair 🇬🇧52.0-52.5%$82,562
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.2-50.9%$5,851

53.8%

0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$4,975,815
Polymarket 🌎46.0-47.0%$2,533,766
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.4-43.3%$313,732
Betfair 🇬🇧47.5-48.0%$82,562
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.8-51.2%$5,851

46.2%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:28AM EDT on May 29, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$631,846,955 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-15.2%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,151,880
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.1%$217,153

17.7%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,151,880
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.5%$217,153

17.0%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.5-13.6%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,151,880

14.8%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,151,880
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$217,153

6.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-5.9%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-6.4%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,151,880
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$217,153

4.4%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$217,153

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,151,880
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$217,153

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,151,880
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$217,153

2.9%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$217,153

2.3%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.9%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$217,153

2.2%

-0.4%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.2%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$217,153

1.4%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.4%$1,236,018
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,151,880
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.8%$217,153

1.1%

-0.3%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,153

1.1%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,153

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,153

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,153

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$606,934,969
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$22,311,105
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,153

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,153

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,153

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,153

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,153

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,153

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,153

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,236,018
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,153

0.1%

-0.0%

19.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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