Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:11PM EDT on Mar 19, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$3,745,542 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$2,516,977
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$1,003,978
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.8-46.8%$198,028
Betfair 🇬🇧51.9-58.6%$21,868
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.2-56.7%$4,717

51.0%

1.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$2,516,977
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$1,003,978
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.7-54.7%$198,028
Betfair 🇬🇧41.4-48.2%$21,868
Smarkets 🇬🇧40.7-49.4%$4,717

49.0%

-1.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:58PM EDT on Mar 19, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$443,734,370 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.4-18.6%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.2%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$879,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$188,677

20.2%

0.6%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.4-20.5%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$879,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$188,677

20.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.9%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$879,339

14.3%

0.8%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-5.4%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$879,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.9%$188,677

5.8%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$879,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$188,677

3.2%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$879,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$188,677

3.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$188,677

2.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.2%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$879,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.0%$188,677

2.4%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,076,038
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$879,339
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$188,677

2.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$188,677

1.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$188,677

1.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$188,677

1.0%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$188,677

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$188,677

0.6%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$188,677

0.5%

0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$429,716,738
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,877,109
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$188,677

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$188,677

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$188,677

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$188,677

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,677

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,677

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,677

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,677

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,076,038
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$188,677

0.1%

-0.0%

18.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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