Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:22PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,052,705 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$7,531,020
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$3,977,440
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.9-53.9%$400,535
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.9%$143,710

51.4%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$7,531,020
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$3,977,440
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.1-47.1%$400,535
Betfair 🇬🇧50.2-51.5%$143,710

48.6%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:56PM EDT on Aug 21, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$731,363,369 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.4-20.5%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$254,186

19.7%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$254,186

11.8%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-12.2%$254,186

11.1%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$254,186

9.8%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.3-8.4%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.4%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-10.9%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-11.1%$254,186

9.4%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.8%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$254,186

3.5%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.6%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$254,186

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$254,186

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.7%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$254,186

2.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.7-2.2%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$254,186

1.9%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$254,186

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$254,186

1.0%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.1%$1,492,263
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,277,648
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$254,186

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$690,726,644
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$254,186

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$254,186

0.4%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$254,186

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$254,186

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,186

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,186

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$254,186

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$690,726,644
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$37,612,630
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,186

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,186

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,186

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$254,186

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,492,263
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$254,186

0.1%

+0.0%

18.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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