Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:16PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$14,938,693 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$9,402,608
Polymarket 🌎63.0-64.0%$4,895,613
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.4-62.4%$458,301
Betfair 🇬🇧60.0-61.1%$182,442

61.6%

1.8%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$9,402,608
Polymarket 🌎36.0-37.0%$4,895,613
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.6-39.6%$458,301
Betfair 🇬🇧38.8-40.1%$182,442

38.4%

-1.8%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:08PM EDT on Sep 21, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$752,766,364 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.6-20.7%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$263,336

20.8%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.2%$263,336

11.5%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$263,336

11.1%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.8-8.9%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.7%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$263,336

9.0%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.8-7.0%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.5-7.8%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-9.5%$263,336

8.1%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-4.1%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$263,336

3.5%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.6%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$263,336

3.2%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$263,336

3.2%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$263,336

2.1%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-2.1%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$263,336

1.9%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$1,529,929
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,336,558
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$263,336

0.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$263,336

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$263,336

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,100,542
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$263,336

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$263,336

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$263,336

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,336

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,336

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,336

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,336

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,100,542
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$41,536,233
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$263,336

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,336

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,336

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$263,336

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,529,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$263,336

0.1%

+0.0%

20.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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