Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:35PM EDT on Jun 16, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,542,174 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,361,392
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$2,746,636
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.8-59.8%$335,960
Betfair 🇬🇧52.1-52.6%$90,893
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.9-52.6%$7,262

55.4%

0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,361,392
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$2,746,636
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.2-41.2%$335,960
Betfair 🇬🇧47.2-48.1%$90,893
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.6-48.9%$7,262

44.6%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:35PM EDT on Jun 16, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$655,687,156 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.3%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-14.7%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,181,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-15.6%$223,049

16.9%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧13.5-15.6%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,181,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-16.1%$223,049

15.5%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.9%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,181,559

15.4%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.6-5.7%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.4-6.7%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.5%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,181,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$223,049

6.9%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.3%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,181,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$223,049

4.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$223,049

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,181,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$223,049

3.2%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,181,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$223,049

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$223,049

2.5%

0.3%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.6%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.2%$223,049

1.7%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,274,737
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,181,559
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$223,049

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-1.6%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.7%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$223,049

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$223,049

1.1%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$223,049

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$223,049

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$223,049

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$629,497,790
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,513,629
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$223,049

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$223,049

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$223,049

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$223,049

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$223,049

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$223,049

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$223,049

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,274,737
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$223,049

0.1%

-0.0%

20.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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