Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:01AM EDT on Sep 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$14,354,654 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.4-58.4%$9,097,452
Polymarket 🌎58.4-59.4%$4,633,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.7-59.7%$447,449
Betfair 🇬🇧56.9-58.6%$175,910

58.4%

1.6%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.6-42.6%$9,097,452
Polymarket 🌎40.6-41.6%$4,633,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.8-43.8%$447,449
Betfair 🇬🇧41.4-43.2%$175,910

41.6%

-1.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:00AM EDT on Sep 18, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$750,773,141 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-21.1%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$263,336

21.1%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.2%$263,336

11.4%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$263,336

11.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$263,336

9.5%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.6%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.8-8.0%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.1%$263,336

8.2%

0.4%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$263,336

3.6%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.4%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-3.6%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$263,336

3.2%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$263,336

3.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$263,336

2.1%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$263,336

1.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$1,524,891
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,332,011
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$263,336

0.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$263,336

0.8%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$706,555,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$263,336

0.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$263,336

0.6%

-0.2%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$263,336

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$263,336

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,336

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,336

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,336

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,336

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$706,555,691
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$41,098,230
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$263,336

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,336

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$263,336

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,336

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,524,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$263,336

0.1%

+0.0%

19.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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