Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:22PM EDT on Jul 22, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,857,370 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$6,098,465
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,277,982
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.0-62.0%$353,914
Betfair 🇬🇧53.8-55.0%$119,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.5-54.0%$7,630

56.1%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$6,098,465
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,277,982
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.0-40.0%$353,914
Betfair 🇬🇧44.5-46.6%$119,396
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.0-47.6%$7,630

43.9%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:49PM EDT on Jul 22, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$704,381,516 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.9-20.0%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.9%$239,010

19.0%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$239,010

14.3%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.9-13.0%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$239,010

13.5%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.0-8.1%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.7%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$239,010

8.9%

-0.4%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.6%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-10.0%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$239,010

8.5%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.7%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$239,010

3.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$239,010

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.8%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$239,010

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$239,010

2.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$239,010

2.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$239,010

1.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-1.1%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,337,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,230,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$239,010

1.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$239,010

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$668,387,657
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$239,010

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$239,010

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$239,010

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$239,010

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$239,010

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$668,387,657
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$33,187,796
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$239,010

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$239,010

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$239,010

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$239,010

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$239,010

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$239,010

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,337,969
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$239,010

0.1%

+0.0%

13.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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