Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:28PM EDT on Jun 02, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,108,857 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.6-58.6%$5,086,382
Polymarket 🌎53.0-54.0%$2,604,262
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.4-61.4%$323,527
Betfair 🇬🇧51.3-52.6%$88,586
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.1-52.5%$6,105

55.1%

0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.4-42.4%$5,086,382
Polymarket 🌎46.0-47.0%$2,604,262
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.6-39.6%$323,527
Betfair 🇬🇧47.6-48.5%$88,586
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.7-49.6%$6,105

44.9%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:05PM EDT on Jun 02, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$639,189,328 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.7-17.8%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,159,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$217,762

17.8%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.8%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-20.0%$1,159,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$217,762

16.8%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.2-14.3%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,159,380

15.2%

0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.8-7.2%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.1%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,159,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$217,762

6.7%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.7-5.8%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,159,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$217,762

4.3%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$217,762

3.3%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,159,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$217,762

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,159,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$217,762

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$217,762

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.8%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$217,762

2.1%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$1,247,390
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,159,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.1%$217,762

1.4%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.1%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$217,762

1.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,762

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,762

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,762

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$613,875,597
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$22,690,124
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,762

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,762

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,762

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,762

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,762

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,762

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,762

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,762

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,247,390
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,762

0.1%

-0.0%

18.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd