Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:31PM EDT on Jul 16, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,646,440 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$5,987,571
Polymarket 🌎54.5-55.4%$3,179,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.1-61.1%$352,848
Betfair 🇬🇧53.4-54.6%$119,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.8-54.6%$7,629

55.7%

0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$5,987,571
Polymarket 🌎44.6-45.5%$3,179,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.4-40.4%$352,848
Betfair 🇬🇧45.4-46.7%$119,128
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.5-48.1%$7,629

44.3%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:22PM EDT on Jul 16, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$691,535,325 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$234,371

18.8%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.2%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,211,742

14.8%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-14.3%$234,371

13.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$234,371

8.9%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$234,371

3.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.3%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$234,371

3.1%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$234,371

2.9%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,371

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$234,371

2.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$234,371

1.9%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-2.0%$1,332,452
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,211,742
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$234,371

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$234,371

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$234,371

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$234,371

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$234,371

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$234,371

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$661,963,021
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.7%$26,824,991
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,371

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$234,371

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,371

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$234,371

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,371

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,371

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$234,371

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,332,452
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$234,371

0.1%

-0.0%

20.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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