Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24PM EDT on Mar 24, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,088,117 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$2,628,543
Polymarket 🌎50.7-51.7%$1,231,125
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$202,253
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-51.3%$22,349
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.0-51.6%$4,717

51.3%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-48.9%$2,628,543
Polymarket 🌎47.8-49.8%$1,231,125
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$202,253
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-51.6%$22,349
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.8-52.6%$4,717

48.7%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:09PM EDT on Mar 24, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$466,137,554 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.2-16.4%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.4-18.5%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-19.2%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$899,135
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-19.6%$193,426

19.2%

-0.6%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.2-19.5%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$899,135
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$193,426

19.1%

-0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.5-14.6%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.9%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-17.0%$899,135

13.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.0%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$899,135
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.1%$193,426

5.8%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.6%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$899,135
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$193,426

3.0%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.9%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$899,135
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$193,426

2.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-3.3%$193,426

2.8%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.8%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$899,135
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$193,426

2.4%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.5%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,079,774
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$899,135
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$193,426

1.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.8%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$193,426

1.6%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.5%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$193,426

1.3%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$193,426

1.2%

0.4%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$193,426

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.8%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$193,426

0.8%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$193,426

0.5%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$193,426

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$450,316,077
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.6%$13,654,800
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$193,426

0.4%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$193,426

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$193,426

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,079,774
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$193,426

0.1%

+0.0%

21.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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