Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:16PM EDT on Jun 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,062,774 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$5,060,402
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$2,589,974
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.8-59.8%$317,984
Betfair 🇬🇧51.4-52.7%$88,307
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.8-53.3%$6,105

54.4%

-0.9%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$5,060,402
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$2,589,974
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.2-41.2%$317,984
Betfair 🇬🇧47.3-48.6%$88,307
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.5-49.4%$6,105

45.6%

0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:07PM EDT on Jun 01, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$637,507,123 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-18.1%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,156,807
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$217,728

17.9%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.8%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,156,807
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$217,728

16.9%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.1%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,156,807

14.9%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.9-7.0%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,156,807
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$217,728

6.6%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.7-5.8%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,156,807
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$217,728

4.3%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$217,728

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.4%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,156,807
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$217,728

3.1%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,156,807
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$217,728

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$217,728

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.8%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$217,728

2.1%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$1,243,691
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,156,807
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.1%$217,728

1.4%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.2%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$217,728

1.4%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,728

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,728

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,728

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$612,267,419
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$22,621,478
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,728

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,728

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,728

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,728

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,728

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,728

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,728

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,728

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,243,691
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,728

0.1%

-0.0%

18.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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