Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:38PM EST on Nov 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$798,225,622 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$325,039

17.8%

-0.4%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.8-12.9%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.2%$325,039

12.9%

-0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.8-9.9%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.4%$325,039

9.4%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.4-7.5%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$325,039

8.6%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.4-9.5%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-7.7%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$325,039

8.6%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.3-6.5%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.6-5.8%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-5.7%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-5.7%$325,039

5.8%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$325,039

3.2%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.4%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.5%$325,039

3.0%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.6%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.8%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%$325,039

2.9%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$325,039

1.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$325,039

0.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$1,664,951
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,566,490
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.7%$325,039

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$325,039

0.5%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$740,241,659
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$325,039

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$325,039

0.3%

-0.2%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$325,039

0.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$325,039

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$325,039

0.2%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$325,039

0.2%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$325,039

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$325,039

0.2%

0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$740,241,659
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$54,427,593
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$325,039

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$325,039

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$325,039

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,664,951
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$325,039

0.1%

+0.0%

22.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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