Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:50PM EDT on Jun 20, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,603,242 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,403,353
Polymarket 🌎56.0-57.0%$2,764,266
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-60.4%$336,813
Betfair 🇬🇧55.1-58.4%$91,513
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.0-55.5%$7,300

57.0%

0.5%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,403,353
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$2,764,266
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.6-41.6%$336,813
Betfair 🇬🇧41.6-44.9%$91,513
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.1-48.5%$7,300

43.0%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:21PM EDT on Jun 20, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$660,624,307 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.5-19.6%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.1%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,184,093
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.1%$226,712

18.6%

0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.8%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,184,093
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.9%$226,712

15.6%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.5-15.6%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,184,093

15.3%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.6%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,184,093
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$226,712

6.8%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.2%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,184,093
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$226,712

4.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$226,712

3.3%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,184,093
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$226,712

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,184,093
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$226,712

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$226,712

2.3%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.9%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$226,712

2.2%

0.7%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,266,312
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,184,093
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$226,712

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$226,712

1.2%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$226,712

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$226,712

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$226,712

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$633,933,051
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$24,014,388
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,712

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$226,712

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$226,712

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,712

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,712

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,712

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,712

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,712

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,266,312
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,712

0.1%

-0.0%

19.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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