Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:31AM EDT on Oct 26, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$29,396,845 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸62.6-63.6%$19,068,064
Polymarket 🌎64.0-65.0%$9,239,966
PredictIt 🇺🇸63.4-64.4%$685,467
Betfair 🇬🇧65.0-65.8%$404,916

64.2%

-1.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.4-37.4%$19,068,064
Polymarket 🌎35.0-36.0%$9,239,966
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.6-36.6%$685,467
Betfair 🇬🇧34.0-35.2%$404,916

35.8%

1.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:18AM EDT on Oct 26, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$769,154,338 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$277,097

19.8%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.9-8.0%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-12.8%$277,097

11.7%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.9-11.8%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$277,097

11.1%

0.4%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.8-9.0%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$277,097

9.7%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.2-8.8%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$277,097

8.8%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.9%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.9%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$277,097

3.5%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.7%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$277,097

3.1%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$277,097

3.1%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-3.0%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$277,097

2.4%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$277,097

1.5%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$277,097

1.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$277,097

0.9%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,583,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,420,703
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$277,097

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$719,500,972
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$277,097

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$277,097

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$277,097

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,097

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$277,097

0.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$277,097

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$277,097

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,097

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,097

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$277,097

0.1%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$719,500,972
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.2%$46,372,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$277,097

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,583,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$277,097

0.1%

+0.0%

19.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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