Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:33PM EDT on Oct 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$17,744,422 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸62.0-63.0%$11,502,866
Polymarket 🌎62.6-63.6%$5,519,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.1-63.1%$496,354
Betfair 🇬🇧64.9-65.7%$226,744

63.1%

0.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$11,502,866
Polymarket 🌎36.4-37.4%$5,519,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.4-39.4%$496,354
Betfair 🇬🇧34.5-34.9%$226,744

36.9%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:31PM EDT on Oct 01, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$757,902,678 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$264,328

20.2%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.3%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$264,328

11.8%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.0-11.1%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$264,328

10.9%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.7-7.9%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.5%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-10.2%$264,328

8.8%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.9-9.0%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-9.0%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.3%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.3%$264,328

8.5%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-4.1%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,328

3.4%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$264,328

3.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$264,328

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.9%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,328

2.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$264,328

1.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,328

0.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,328

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$1,521,051
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,354,814
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.1%$264,328

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$711,712,861
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$264,328

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,328

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$264,328

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$264,328

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,328

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,328

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,328

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$711,712,861
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,071,615
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,328

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,328

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,328

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,328

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,521,051
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$264,328

0.1%

+0.0%

20.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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