Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:25AM EST on Nov 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$782,808,533 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.9-18.2%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-17.9%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-18.5%$282,546

16.9%

5.6%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.4%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$282,546

13.4%

-4.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-14.1%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-11.4%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.5%$282,546

12.6%

0.7%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$282,546

10.9%

-1.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.4-9.2%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.0%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.0%$282,546

9.6%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-7.0%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.1%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.4%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.5%$282,546

4.3%

2.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.8%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-4.5%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.2%$282,546

3.4%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.5%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$282,546

3.2%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$282,546

3.1%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$282,546

1.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$282,546

0.8%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$282,546

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.8%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$1,618,714
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,470,395
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$282,546

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$729,921,383
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$282,546

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$282,546

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$282,546

0.4%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$282,546

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$282,546

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$282,546

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$282,546

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$282,546

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$729,921,383
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$49,515,505
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$282,546

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$282,546

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$282,546

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,618,714
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$282,546

0.1%

+0.0%

15.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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