Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:31AM EST on Nov 08, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$792,128,574 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.4%$309,554

19.4%

0.2%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.7-17.8%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.8%$309,554

14.3%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-12.1%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.6%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.4%$309,554

11.0%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.0%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.0%$309,554

9.4%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.1-7.3%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$309,554

8.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.6-5.7%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.7-6.8%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-6.3%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.1%$309,554

5.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$309,554

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$309,554

3.0%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.6%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.6-3.9%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.0%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%$309,554

3.0%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$309,554

1.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$1,642,620
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,522,258
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.7%$309,554

0.7%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$309,554

0.6%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$309,554

0.6%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$736,091,015
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$309,554

0.6%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$309,554

0.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$309,554

0.5%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$309,554

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$309,554

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$309,554

0.2%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$309,554

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$309,554

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$309,554

0.1%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$736,091,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$52,563,766
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$309,554

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$309,554

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,642,620
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$309,554

0.1%

+0.0%

15.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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