Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:33PM EDT on Mar 16, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,419,822 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$2,419,822

50.5%

1.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$2,419,822

49.5%

-1.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:11PM EDT on Mar 16, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$427,464,965 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$871,300
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.4%$186,058

20.5%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.1-19.2%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$871,300
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$186,058

20.0%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.8%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-16.0%$871,300

13.9%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$871,300
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.1%$186,058

6.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.7%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$871,300
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$186,058

3.2%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.4%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$871,300
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$186,058

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.3%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$871,300
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$186,058

2.4%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,060,952
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$871,300
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$186,058

2.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$186,058

1.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-1.7%$186,058

1.8%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$186,058

1.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$186,058

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$186,058

0.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$186,058

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$186,058

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$186,058

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$413,881,946
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,480,759
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$186,058

0.4%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$186,058

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$186,058

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,058

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,058

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,058

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,058

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,060,952
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$186,058

0.1%

-0.0%

18.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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