Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:00PM EDT on Jul 17, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,697,882 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$6,024,549
Polymarket 🌎54.5-55.4%$3,193,580
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.5-60.5%$352,974
Betfair 🇬🇧53.5-55.2%$119,287
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.4-54.6%$7,630

56.0%

0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$6,024,549
Polymarket 🌎44.6-45.5%$3,193,580
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-41.0%$352,974
Betfair 🇬🇧45.0-46.3%$119,287
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.5-47.5%$7,630

44.0%

-0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:55PM EDT on Jul 17, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$692,391,195 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,213,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$234,945

18.7%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.1%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,213,496

14.5%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,213,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.5-13.9%$234,945

13.5%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.0%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-7.4%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,213,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.5%$234,945

8.9%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,213,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$234,945

3.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-5.0%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$234,945

3.1%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,213,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$234,945

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,213,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,945

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$234,945

2.8%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$234,945

2.0%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-2.0%$1,334,413
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,213,496
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$234,945

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$234,945

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$234,945

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$234,945

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$234,945

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$234,945

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$662,639,772
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$26,973,056
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,945

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$234,945

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,945

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$234,945

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,945

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,945

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,945

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,334,413
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$234,945

0.1%

-0.0%

19.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd