Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:53PM EDT on Aug 03, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,450,040 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$6,293,687
Polymarket 🌎55.0-56.0%$3,662,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸57.1-58.1%$362,968
Betfair 🇬🇧53.7-54.3%$122,985
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.2-54.5%$7,687

54.8%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$6,293,687
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$3,662,979
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.4-43.3%$362,968
Betfair 🇬🇧45.8-46.2%$122,985
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.5-47.7%$7,687

45.2%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:31PM EDT on Aug 03, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$714,205,146 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$245,589

19.0%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$245,589

13.2%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-13.5%$245,589

12.6%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.8%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.9%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.6%$245,589

10.3%

-0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.7-9.0%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-13.2%$245,589

10.2%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-4.9%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$245,589

3.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.1%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$245,589

2.9%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$245,589

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.9%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$245,589

2.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$245,589

1.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$245,589

1.5%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.7%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,399,141
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,246,122
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$245,589

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$245,589

1.0%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$676,449,087
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$245,589

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$245,589

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$245,589

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$245,589

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$245,589

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$245,589

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$245,589

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$676,449,087
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$34,865,238
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$245,589

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,589

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,589

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,589

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,399,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$245,589

0.1%

+0.0%

13.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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