Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:23AM EST on Nov 05, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$787,236,588 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.4-20.6%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.4%$303,500

20.4%

2.5%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.1-19.7%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-20.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-13.2%$303,500

15.3%

1.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$303,500

11.9%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.5%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.4%$303,500

9.6%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-7.1%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-9.1%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-9.1%$303,500

8.6%

-1.8%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-6.5%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$303,500

5.9%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-4.5%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-4.0%$303,500

3.2%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.7%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$303,500

3.2%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$303,500

3.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.3%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-1.1%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$303,500

1.6%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,637,862
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,485,695
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$303,500

0.8%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$732,645,665
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.8%$303,500

0.6%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$303,500

0.5%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.7%$303,500

0.5%

-0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.2%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$303,500

0.5%

0.2%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$303,500

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$303,500

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$303,500

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$303,500

0.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$303,500

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$303,500

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$732,645,665
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$51,166,832
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$303,500

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$303,500

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$303,500

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,637,862
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$303,500

0.1%

+0.0%

12.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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