Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:20AM EDT on Apr 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,603,656 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.1-50.9%$2,910,054
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$1,436,112
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.3-45.3%$228,619
Betfair 🇬🇧52.9-57.2%$24,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.9-58.8%$4,728

51.5%

0.3%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.5-49.6%$2,910,054
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$1,436,112
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.2-56.2%$228,619
Betfair 🇬🇧42.7-47.2%$24,143
Smarkets 🇬🇧41.3-47.1%$4,728

48.5%

-0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:00AM EDT on Apr 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$505,717,285 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-17.2%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-18.1%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-23.3%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$937,480
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$199,029

19.7%

0.6%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.7%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.9-18.0%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$937,480
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-18.2%$199,029

18.7%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.3-12.4%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$937,480

11.5%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-6.1%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-5.0%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$937,480
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$199,029

6.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$937,480
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$199,029

2.9%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$937,480
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$199,029

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$199,029

2.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$937,480
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$199,029

2.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,095,838
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$937,480
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$199,029

2.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.5%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$199,029

1.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$199,029

1.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$199,029

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$199,029

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$199,029

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$199,029

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$199,029

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$199,029

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$488,151,160
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,340,396
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$199,029

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$199,029

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,095,838
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,029

0.1%

+0.0%

23.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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