Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:20PM EDT on Sep 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$15,472,718 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸64.0-65.0%$9,768,750
Polymarket 🌎65.3-66.3%$5,045,529
PredictIt 🇺🇸65.7-66.7%$466,903
Betfair 🇬🇧65.8-66.3%$191,775

65.6%

1.3%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸35.0-36.0%$9,768,750
Polymarket 🌎33.7-34.7%$5,045,529
PredictIt 🇺🇸33.3-34.3%$466,903
Betfair 🇬🇧33.6-34.3%$191,775

34.4%

-1.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:53PM EDT on Sep 23, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$753,669,537 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.6-20.7%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$263,425

20.3%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.3-13.4%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.2%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.4%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-14.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.8%$263,425

11.6%

0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$263,425

11.5%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.7-8.8%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-9.7%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$263,425

8.9%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.1-7.2%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.4-7.6%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$263,425

8.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-3.9%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$263,425

3.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$263,425

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$263,425

3.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$263,425

2.2%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.7-1.9%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$263,425

1.9%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$1,518,119
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,345,606
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$263,425

0.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$263,425

0.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$263,425

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$708,741,277
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$263,425

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$263,425

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$263,425

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,425

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,425

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,425

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,425

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$708,741,277
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$41,801,133
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$263,425

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,425

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,425

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$263,425

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,518,119
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$263,425

0.1%

+0.0%

20.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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