Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:02PM EDT on Oct 29, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$34,258,855 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸67.0-68.0%$22,056,491
Polymarket 🌎68.0-69.0%$10,994,352
PredictIt 🇺🇸65.0-66.0%$756,336
Betfair 🇬🇧69.8-70.2%$461,153

67.9%

2.6%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$22,056,491
Polymarket 🌎31.0-32.0%$10,994,352
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.0-35.0%$756,336
Betfair 🇬🇧29.8-30.2%$461,153

32.1%

-2.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 7:00PM EDT on Oct 29, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$772,405,682 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.7%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-21.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$278,534

18.3%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.4-13.0%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.8%$278,534

12.0%

0.4%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.5%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%$278,534

10.5%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.5%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$278,534

10.2%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.2-8.4%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.3%$278,534

8.8%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.7%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$278,534

3.5%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$278,534

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.8%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.8%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$278,534

3.0%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.7%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$278,534

2.3%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$278,534

1.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$278,534

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$278,534

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,590,485
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,427,694
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$278,534

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$722,162,115
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$278,534

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$278,534

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$278,534

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$278,534

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$278,534

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$278,534

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$278,534

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,534

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$722,162,115
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$46,948,161
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,534

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,534

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,534

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,590,485
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$278,534

0.1%

+0.0%

21.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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