Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:41PM EDT on Jun 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,351,080 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.6-58.6%$5,245,903
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$2,677,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.8-59.8%$331,434
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-51.8%$88,706
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.8-51.6%$7,068

54.9%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.4-42.4%$5,245,903
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$2,677,969
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.2-41.2%$331,434
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$88,706
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-50.8%$7,068

45.1%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:35PM EDT on Jun 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$643,769,017 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.8-16.0%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-15.6%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,167,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$218,562

17.3%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.7%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-16.7%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,167,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-17.2%$218,562

16.0%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.7%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.8%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,167,474

15.9%

0.9%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.8%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.6-6.8%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,167,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$218,562

6.6%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.5%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,167,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$218,562

4.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.7%$218,562

3.5%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$218,562

3.1%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$218,562

2.9%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$218,562

2.2%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$218,562

2.2%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.3%$1,245,560
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,167,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.1%$218,562

1.4%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.5%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.0%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$218,562

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$218,562

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$218,562

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$218,562

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$218,562

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$618,185,768
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$22,961,977
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,562

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,562

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,562

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,562

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,562

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,562

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,562

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,245,560
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$218,562

0.1%

-0.0%

19.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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