Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:29AM EDT on May 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,876,076 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.5-54.5%$4,957,546
Polymarket 🌎52.5-53.5%$2,518,790
PredictIt 🇺🇸55.6-57.6%$311,983
Betfair 🇬🇧52.0-52.3%$81,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.8-52.1%$5,851

53.3%

0.8%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.5-46.5%$4,957,546
Polymarket 🌎46.5-47.5%$2,518,790
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.9-43.9%$311,983
Betfair 🇬🇧47.6-48.0%$81,979
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.4-50.8%$5,851

46.7%

-0.8%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:13AM EDT on May 28, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$630,809,390 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.2%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,148,798
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.7%$217,057

17.6%

-0.8%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.9-16.0%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-17.9%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-20.0%$1,148,798
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-18.5%$217,057

16.7%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.4-13.5%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.9%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,148,798

15.2%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.1-6.3%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,148,798
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$217,057

6.5%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.9-6.0%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.1-6.5%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,148,798
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$217,057

4.5%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$217,057

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,148,798
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$217,057

3.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,148,798
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$217,057

2.8%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$217,057

2.6%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$217,057

2.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.2%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$217,057

1.4%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.8%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-2.3%$1,232,127
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,148,798
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$217,057

1.4%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$217,057

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$217,057

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$217,057

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$217,057

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$606,068,900
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$22,143,412
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,057

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$217,057

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$217,057

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,057

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,057

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,057

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$217,057

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,232,127
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$217,057

0.1%

-0.0%

18.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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