Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:41PM EDT on Jun 21, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,628,828 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,418,008
Polymarket 🌎56.7-57.7%$2,775,006
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.1-60.1%$337,001
Betfair 🇬🇧55.3-57.9%$91,513
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.6-55.1%$7,300

57.1%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,418,008
Polymarket 🌎41.8-43.8%$2,775,006
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.4-41.4%$337,001
Betfair 🇬🇧41.7-45.1%$91,513
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.0-47.3%$7,300

42.9%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:07PM EDT on Jun 21, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$662,192,134 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.4-20.6%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,185,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.9%$226,724

18.6%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.4-15.5%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,185,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.9%$226,724

15.6%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.4-15.5%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.6%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,185,860

14.7%

-0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,185,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$226,724

6.8%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.2%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,185,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$226,724

3.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,185,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$226,724

3.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$226,724

3.0%

-0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,185,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$226,724

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$226,724

2.2%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.9%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$226,724

2.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,267,297
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,185,860
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$226,724

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$226,724

1.2%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$226,724

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$226,724

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$226,724

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$635,429,628
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$24,082,909
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,724

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$226,724

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$226,724

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,724

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,724

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,724

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,724

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,724

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,267,297
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,724

0.1%

-0.0%

20.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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