Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:46PM EDT on Mar 22, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$3,907,282 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$2,582,673
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$1,096,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$201,602
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-50.0%$22,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.9-50.2%$4,717

50.9%

9.7%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$2,582,673
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$1,096,121
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$201,602
Betfair 🇬🇧50.0-51.5%$22,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.2-52.6%$4,717

49.1%

-9.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:30PM EDT on Mar 22, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$454,586,193 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$892,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$191,096

19.9%

3.8%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.9-18.0%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.8%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$892,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-100.0%$191,096

19.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-11.4%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$892,653

13.4%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-5.0%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$892,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$191,096

5.8%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.6%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$892,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$191,096

3.0%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$892,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$191,096

2.9%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-100.0%$191,096

2.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-3.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$892,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-2.4%$191,096

2.3%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,077,924
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$892,653
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$191,096

1.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$191,096

1.6%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$191,096

1.4%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.4%$191,096

1.0%

0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$191,096

0.8%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$191,096

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$191,096

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$191,096

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$438,923,321
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$13,502,625
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$191,096

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$191,096

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$191,096

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$191,096

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$191,096

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$191,096

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$191,096

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,077,924
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$191,096

0.1%

-0.0%

20.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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