Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:27PM EST on Mar 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,034,474 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$2,034,474

56.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$2,034,474

43.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 7:28PM EST on Mar 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$380,551,935 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.2-21.3%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-21.3%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$839,464
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.4-21.7%$183,964

22.0%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.8-16.9%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$839,464
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$183,964

18.9%

0.6%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.7%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-10.0%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$839,464

10.5%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-6.0%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.9%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$839,464
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.5%$183,964

6.3%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$839,464
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$183,964

3.5%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$839,464
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$183,964

3.1%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$839,464
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$183,964

2.8%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,040,914
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$839,464
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$183,964

2.1%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$183,964

1.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$183,964

1.7%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$183,964

1.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.8%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$183,964

1.1%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$183,964

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$183,964

0.6%

-0.2%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$183,964

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$183,964

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$368,737,211
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,750,608
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$183,964

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$183,964

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$183,964

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$183,964

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,040,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$183,964

0.1%

+0.0%

20.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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