Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:09PM EDT on May 19, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,596,217 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$4,758,846
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$2,446,626
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.4-57.4%$305,143
Betfair 🇬🇧49.1-51.6%$79,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.0-51.8%$5,671

52.5%

-0.6%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$4,758,846
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$2,446,626
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.6-43.6%$305,143
Betfair 🇬🇧48.6-50.6%$79,948
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.8-52.4%$5,671

47.5%

0.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 10:37PM EDT on May 19, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$614,656,115 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,139,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$215,888

19.1%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.4-16.5%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,139,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$215,888

17.1%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.6-13.7%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-11.1%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-17.0%$1,139,075

14.2%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.6-5.7%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,139,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$215,888

6.3%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.4-6.5%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-5.0%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,139,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$215,888

4.4%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$215,888

3.3%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,139,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,888

3.1%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,139,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$215,888

2.9%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-3.8%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-3.3%$215,888

2.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$215,888

2.4%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.4%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.4%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$215,888

1.7%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,208,231
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,139,075
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$215,888

1.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$215,888

1.0%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,888

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,888

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$215,888

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$590,744,356
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,351,116
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,888

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,888

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,888

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,888

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,888

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,888

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,888

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,208,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$215,888

0.1%

+0.0%

17.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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