Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:21AM EDT on May 02, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,491,123 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.5-49.5%$3,935,566
Polymarket 🌎50.0-51.0%$2,232,545
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.2-48.2%$283,153
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-52.8%$34,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.3-54.9%$5,360

50.5%

-0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$3,935,566
Polymarket 🌎49.0-50.0%$2,232,545
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.3-53.3%$283,153
Betfair 🇬🇧46.5-49.7%$34,512
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.8-49.0%$5,360

49.5%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:54AM EDT on May 02, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$583,580,252 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.5-21.6%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$1,068,136
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$210,702

20.2%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.2-17.3%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,068,136
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-19.2%$210,702

18.1%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.7%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,068,136

12.0%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.7-5.8%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.1-5.2%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,068,136
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$210,702

6.1%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.4%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-6.0%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,068,136
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$210,702

4.2%

0.5%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.6%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.5%$210,702

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,068,136
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$210,702

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,068,136
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$210,702

2.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$210,702

2.3%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,177,846
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,068,136
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$210,702

1.8%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.1%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$210,702

1.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.2%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$210,702

1.2%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$210,702

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$210,702

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$210,702

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$210,702

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$562,371,960
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$18,755,905
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,177,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%

19.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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