Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:39PM EDT on Aug 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,053,146 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.5-50.5%$6,709,237
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$3,830,392
PredictIt 🇺🇸45.1-46.1%$376,500
Betfair 🇬🇧51.3-54.7%$137,061

50.3%

3.8%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.5-50.5%$6,709,237
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$3,830,392
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.9-54.9%$376,500
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-48.6%$137,061

49.7%

-3.8%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:28PM EDT on Aug 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$719,952,513 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.4-22.5%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$248,204

19.7%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.3-12.4%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$248,204

12.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.7%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.2%$248,204

11.3%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$248,204

10.8%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.7%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.2-8.9%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-9.1%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-13.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-11.1%$248,204

9.8%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.2%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$248,204

3.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.1%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$248,204

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$248,204

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-4.2%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$248,204

2.6%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.9-2.1%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$248,204

2.3%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$248,204

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$248,204

1.0%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.6%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,441,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,262,846
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$248,204

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,807,915
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$248,204

0.8%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$248,204

0.4%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$248,204

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$248,204

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,204

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,204

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$680,807,915
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,192,569
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,204

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$248,204

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,204

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,204

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$248,204

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,441,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$248,204

0.1%

+0.0%

15.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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