Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:43AM EDT on Apr 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,338,834 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.2-48.2%$3,820,170
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$2,202,920
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.3-50.2%$277,800
Betfair 🇬🇧54.3-54.9%$32,635
Smarkets 🇬🇧55.1-57.0%$5,309

51.9%

-0.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.3-53.3%$3,820,170
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$2,202,920
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.3-51.2%$277,800
Betfair 🇬🇧45.0-45.8%$32,635
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.2-45.7%$5,309

48.1%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 51 - 49
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:23AM EDT on Apr 28, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$577,514,362 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,041,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$210,702

19.9%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.3-17.4%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,041,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-19.2%$210,702

18.6%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.4-10.6%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,041,723

11.8%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.6-6.8%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.3%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.0%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,041,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.1%$210,702

6.2%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-5.0%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.7%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,041,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$210,702

3.6%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-4.0%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-4.0%$210,702

3.4%

0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.2%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,041,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$210,702

2.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.9%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,041,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$210,702

2.7%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-4.0%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$210,702

2.4%

-0.4%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,167,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,041,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$210,702

1.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.7-2.0%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$210,702

1.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$210,702

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$210,702

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$210,702

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$210,702

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$210,702

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$557,059,962
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$18,036,171
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,167,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%

19.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd