Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:59PM EDT on Oct 09, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$20,781,915 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$13,766,751
Polymarket 🌎62.6-63.6%$6,223,443
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.7-62.7%$543,077
Betfair 🇬🇧62.9-63.3%$250,703

62.2%

-0.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$13,766,751
Polymarket 🌎36.4-37.4%$6,223,443
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.8-38.8%$543,077
Betfair 🇬🇧36.5-37.3%$250,703

37.8%

0.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:37PM EDT on Oct 09, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$761,962,921 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.0-19.1%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$267,041

18.9%

-0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-11.9%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-13.5%$267,041

12.4%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.0-10.1%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$267,041

11.3%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.7%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-12.0%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$267,041

9.3%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.5-7.6%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.5-9.7%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$267,041

8.3%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$267,041

3.7%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$267,041

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.1%$267,041

3.1%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.5%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$267,041

2.4%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$267,041

1.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.8%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$267,041

1.0%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$267,041

0.8%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$1,536,670
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,376,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$267,041

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$714,809,225
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$267,041

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$267,041

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$267,041

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,041

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,041

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,041

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,041

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$714,809,225
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,973,295
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$267,041

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,041

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,041

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,041

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,536,670
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$267,041

0.1%

+0.0%

19.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd