Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:15AM EDT on Aug 27, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,321,367 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.5-52.5%$7,733,962
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,027,681
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$411,436
Betfair 🇬🇧48.2-49.1%$148,288

50.5%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.5-48.5%$7,733,962
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,027,681
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$411,436
Betfair 🇬🇧51.1-51.6%$148,288

49.5%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:54PM EDT on Aug 26, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$734,758,686 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.0-24.1%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$254,473

20.5%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.1%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-13.2%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-16.1%$254,473

12.9%

0.6%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.7-10.8%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$254,473

10.9%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.9-10.0%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$254,473

10.1%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.6%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-9.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.4%$254,473

9.3%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$254,473

3.4%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$254,473

2.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.3%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$254,473

2.8%

-0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.7%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$254,473

2.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.6%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$254,473

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.4%$254,473

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$254,473

1.0%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.2%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,506,847
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,287,565
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$254,473

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$693,252,178
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$254,473

0.8%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$254,473

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$254,473

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$254,473

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,473

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,473

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$254,473

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$693,252,178
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$38,457,814
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,473

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,473

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,473

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$254,473

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,506,847
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$254,473

0.1%

+0.0%

16.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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