Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:30PM EDT on Jul 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,579,483 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$5,928,937
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$3,171,807
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$352,442
Betfair 🇬🇧53.6-54.1%$118,668
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.1-53.8%$7,629

54.9%

-0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$5,928,937
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$3,171,807
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$352,442
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-46.8%$118,668
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.9-48.1%$7,629

45.1%

0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:00PM EDT on Jul 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$688,071,262 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.9-20.0%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,208,387
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$234,238

18.7%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.1%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,208,387

14.4%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-13.2%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,208,387
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$234,238

13.1%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-8.0%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.2-8.4%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-12.0%$1,208,387
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$234,238

8.5%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,208,387
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.9%$234,238

3.9%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,208,387
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$234,238

2.9%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,208,387
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,238

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.9%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-3.1%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$234,238

2.7%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$234,238

2.6%

-0.3%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$234,238

2.1%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.1%$1,321,716
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,208,387
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$234,238

1.3%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$234,238

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$234,238

1.1%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$234,238

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$234,238

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$658,824,393
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.7%$26,485,223
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,238

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$234,238

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$234,238

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$234,238

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$234,238

0.2%

-0.1%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,238

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,238

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$234,238

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,321,716
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$234,238

0.1%

-0.0%

21.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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