Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:48PM EDT on Jun 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,518,488 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.6-57.6%$5,346,795
Polymarket 🌎56.0-57.0%$2,738,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$335,384
Betfair 🇬🇧51.7-52.3%$90,378
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-52.1%$7,262

55.2%

0.4%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.4-43.4%$5,346,795
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$2,738,669
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$335,384
Betfair 🇬🇧47.5-48.5%$90,378
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.4-49.8%$7,262

44.8%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:30PM EDT on Jun 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$654,000,860 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.0-15.1%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,180,834
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-15.6%$222,861

16.7%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.0-15.1%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-18.0%$1,180,834

15.3%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.3-14.4%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-16.1%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,180,834
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.1%$222,861

15.3%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.7%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.3-6.5%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.3%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,180,834
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$222,861

6.8%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.3%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.0%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,180,834
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$222,861

4.1%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$222,861

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,180,834
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$222,861

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,180,834
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$222,861

2.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$222,861

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.6%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$222,861

1.6%

-0.5%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.6%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.7%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$222,861

1.4%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,267,916
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,180,834
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$222,861

1.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$222,861

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$222,861

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$222,861

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$222,861

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$627,981,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,347,307
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$222,861

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$222,861

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$222,861

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,861

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,861

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,861

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$222,861

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,267,916
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$222,861

0.1%

-0.0%

22.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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