Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:42PM EDT on Jun 07, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,367,979 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.3-58.3%$5,254,605
Polymarket 🌎55.0-56.0%$2,684,026
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.5-61.5%$333,005
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-51.8%$89,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.8-51.6%$7,068

55.1%

0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.2-43.2%$5,254,605
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$2,684,026
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$333,005
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$89,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-50.8%$7,068

44.9%

-0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:37PM EDT on Jun 07, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$644,763,660 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.8-15.9%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.2%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,167,923
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.1%$218,619

17.2%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-16.7%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,167,923
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-17.2%$218,619

16.1%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.7%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,167,923

15.3%

-0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.4-6.7%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,167,923
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$218,619

6.6%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.4%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.5%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,167,923
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$218,619

4.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.6%$218,619

3.3%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.6%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,923
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$218,619

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,923
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$218,619

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$218,619

2.2%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.4%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$218,619

1.8%

-0.4%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$218,619

1.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.3%$1,251,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,167,923
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-2.1%$218,619

1.4%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$218,619

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$218,619

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$218,619

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$218,619

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$619,151,793
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$22,985,457
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,251,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$218,619

0.1%

-0.0%

20.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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