Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:44AM EDT on Oct 31, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$37,998,047 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸70.0-71.0%$23,572,953
Polymarket 🌎70.0-71.0%$13,150,515
PredictIt 🇺🇸67.6-70.6%$783,808
Betfair 🇬🇧70.6-71.6%$493,127

70.3%

1.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$23,572,953
Polymarket 🌎29.0-30.0%$13,150,515
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.4-32.4%$783,808
Betfair 🇬🇧27.9-29.9%$493,127

29.7%

-1.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 53-47. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:15AM EDT on Oct 31, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$773,306,294 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.1-18.8%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.9%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-21.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.9%$278,687

18.9%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.1-12.4%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.4%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.5%$278,687

11.8%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-12.0%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$278,687

10.9%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.6%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$278,687

10.8%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.8%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.3%$278,687

9.6%

0.7%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.1%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.8%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$278,687

3.5%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$278,687

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.5%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$278,687

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-3.1%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$278,687

2.5%

0.3%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$278,687

1.5%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$278,687

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$278,687

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,591,517
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,432,319
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$278,687

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$722,829,363
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$278,687

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$278,687

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$278,687

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$278,687

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$278,687

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$278,687

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$278,687

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$722,829,363
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$47,174,551
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,591,517
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$278,687

0.1%

+0.0%

18.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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