Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:48PM EDT on May 22, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,701,887 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$4,850,918
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$2,458,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸55.3-56.3%$306,557
Betfair 🇬🇧49.2-52.0%$80,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.9-52.3%$5,831

52.2%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$4,850,918
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$2,458,146
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.7-44.7%$306,557
Betfair 🇬🇧48.2-50.7%$80,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.6-53.2%$5,831

47.8%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:42PM EDT on May 22, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$618,745,117 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$1,142,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$216,223

19.4%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.2%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,142,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.9%$216,223

17.2%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.4-12.5%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-11.1%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,142,384

14.2%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.9-6.0%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.6%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,142,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$216,223

6.2%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.4-7.6%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-6.5%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,142,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$216,223

4.9%

0.3%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$216,223

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,142,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$216,223

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,142,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$216,223

2.8%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$216,223

2.6%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$216,223

2.4%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.6%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.5%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$216,223

1.7%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.4%$1,216,157
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,142,384
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$216,223

1.5%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$216,223

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$216,223

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$216,223

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$216,223

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$594,429,102
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,744,578
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$216,223

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$216,223

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$216,223

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,223

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,223

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,223

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,223

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,216,157
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$216,223

0.1%

-0.0%

16.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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