Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:07PM EDT on Jun 24, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,670,021 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,449,460
Polymarket 🌎57.0-58.0%$2,784,888
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.1-60.1%$337,459
Betfair 🇬🇧55.3-56.9%$90,964
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.2%$7,326

57.2%

0.5%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,449,460
Polymarket 🌎42.0-43.0%$2,784,888
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.4-41.4%$337,459
Betfair 🇬🇧43.1-44.7%$90,964
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.3%$7,326

42.8%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:47PM EDT on Jun 24, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$665,535,497 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,186,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.7%$228,630

18.6%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.1-15.2%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.2%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,186,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$228,630

15.3%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.5-13.6%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.6%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,186,133

14.1%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.8-7.0%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,186,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$228,630

6.9%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.0%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,186,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$228,630

3.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,186,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$228,630

3.0%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$228,630

3.0%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,186,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$228,630

2.7%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.9%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$228,630

2.4%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$228,630

2.0%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$228,630

1.3%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$1,263,723
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,186,133
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.5%$228,630

1.1%

0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$228,630

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$228,630

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$228,630

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$638,438,320
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,420,576
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,630

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$228,630

0.3%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$228,630

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,630

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,630

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,630

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,630

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,630

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,263,723
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,630

0.1%

-0.0%

21.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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