Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:44PM EDT on May 23, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,720,691 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$4,866,446
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$2,460,276
PredictIt 🇺🇸55.3-56.3%$307,112
Betfair 🇬🇧49.6-52.2%$81,006
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.2-52.0%$5,851

52.3%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$4,866,446
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$2,460,276
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.7-44.7%$307,112
Betfair 🇬🇧47.7-50.6%$81,006
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.9-52.0%$5,851

47.7%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:36PM EDT on May 23, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$619,842,731 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.9-19.0%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$1,143,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$216,248

19.4%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.1-16.2%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,143,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$216,248

17.5%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.6-13.7%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-11.1%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,143,933

14.5%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.1-5.2%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.1-6.3%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.7%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,143,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-5.9%$216,248

6.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.9-7.1%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,143,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$216,248

4.8%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$216,248

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,143,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$216,248

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,143,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$216,248

2.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$216,248

2.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$216,248

2.4%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.5%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.3%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$216,248

1.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.3%$1,216,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,143,933
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$216,248

1.5%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$216,248

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$216,248

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$216,248

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$216,248

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$595,411,733
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,856,836
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$216,248

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$216,248

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$216,248

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$216,248

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,216,632
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$216,248

0.1%

-0.0%

16.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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