Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:03AM EDT on Jun 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,763,910 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸58.0-59.0%$5,519,666
Polymarket 🌎57.0-58.0%$2,806,932
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.5-60.5%$338,652
Betfair 🇬🇧55.5-56.8%$91,334
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.2%$7,326

57.5%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.0-42.0%$5,519,666
Polymarket 🌎42.0-43.0%$2,806,932
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-41.0%$338,652
Betfair 🇬🇧43.5-44.2%$91,334
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.3%$7,326

42.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:35PM EDT on Jul 02, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$671,056,971 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,199,746
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$232,181

18.5%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,199,746

14.9%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,199,746
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.9%$232,181

13.8%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.5-8.1%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,199,746
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.7%$232,181

7.8%

0.3%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,199,746
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$232,181

3.2%

0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.6%$232,181

3.1%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.9%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,199,746
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$232,181

3.0%

-0.7%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.2%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,199,746
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$232,181

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.7%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$232,181

2.4%

0.4%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$232,181

2.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.4%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$232,181

1.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$1,284,275
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,199,746
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.4%$232,181

1.3%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$232,181

1.0%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$232,181

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$232,181

0.4%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$232,181

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$232,181

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,181

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$25,090,382
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,181

0.3%

-0.1%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,181

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,181

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,181

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$232,181

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,284,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$232,181

0.1%

-0.0%

22.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd