Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:58PM EDT on Jun 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,687,610 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.6-58.6%$5,465,549
Polymarket 🌎57.0-58.0%$2,785,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.7-60.7%$338,159
Betfair 🇬🇧55.5-56.8%$91,224
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.6-56.1%$7,326

57.4%

0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.4-42.4%$5,465,549
Polymarket 🌎42.0-43.0%$2,785,358
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.8-40.8%$338,159
Betfair 🇬🇧43.1-44.6%$91,224
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.2%$7,326

42.6%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:39PM EDT on Jun 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$666,656,787 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,186,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.7%$228,716

18.2%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.0-15.1%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-14.7%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,186,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-15.6%$228,716

15.2%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.5-13.6%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.6%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,186,194

15.1%

1.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.7-6.9%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,186,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$228,716

6.9%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.0%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,186,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$228,716

3.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-4.0%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.7%$228,716

3.4%

0.4%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,186,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$228,716

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,186,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$228,716

2.7%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$228,716

2.2%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.6%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$228,716

2.0%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$228,716

1.3%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,269,116
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,186,194
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$228,716

1.1%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$228,716

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$228,716

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$228,716

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$639,373,899
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,598,927
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,716

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$228,716

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$228,716

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,716

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,716

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,716

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,716

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,716

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,269,116
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,716

0.1%

-0.0%

21.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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