Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:40PM EDT on Aug 08, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,699,359 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$6,427,730
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$3,762,478
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.9-59.8%$371,630
Betfair 🇬🇧53.9-54.2%$130,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.2-54.2%$7,687

54.9%

0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$6,427,730
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$3,762,478
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.2-42.2%$371,630
Betfair 🇬🇧45.7-46.2%$130,474
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.7-47.9%$7,687

45.1%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:08PM EDT on Aug 08, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$718,624,178 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.4-21.5%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-24.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$247,443

19.4%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.6%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$247,443

12.5%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.5%$247,443

11.6%

-0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.6%$247,443

10.4%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.5%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.9-8.2%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-13.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.6%$247,443

10.0%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.3%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.1%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$247,443

3.7%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$247,443

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$247,443

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-3.9%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$247,443

2.5%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.3%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$247,443

2.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$247,443

1.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.3%$1,427,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,260,468
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.3%$247,443

1.0%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$247,443

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$679,839,489
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$247,443

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$247,443

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$247,443

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$247,443

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$247,443

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$247,443

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$247,443

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$679,839,489
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$35,849,229
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$247,443

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$247,443

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$247,443

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$247,443

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,427,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$247,443

0.1%

+0.0%

14.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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