Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:00AM EDT on May 13, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,222,902 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.6-56.6%$4,476,943
Polymarket 🌎52.5-53.5%$2,370,307
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.3-59.3%$297,194
Betfair 🇬🇧50.4-51.7%$73,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-51.9%$5,360

53.8%

0.6%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.4-44.4%$4,476,943
Polymarket 🌎46.5-47.5%$2,370,307
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.2-42.2%$297,194
Betfair 🇬🇧48.2-49.7%$73,050
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.4-51.9%$5,360

46.2%

-0.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:35AM EDT on May 13, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$601,850,472 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,119,856
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$215,740

18.9%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,119,856
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-18.9%$215,740

17.9%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,119,856

14.7%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.6%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.4%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.7%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,119,856
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.7%$215,740

6.3%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.9%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,119,856
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,740

4.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.8%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.9%$215,740

3.6%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,119,856
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$215,740

3.0%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-3.1%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,119,856
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$215,740

2.9%

0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-3.1%$215,740

2.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.4%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$215,740

2.4%

-0.5%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,196,155
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$1,119,856
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$215,740

1.8%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.3%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.5%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$215,740

1.7%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$215,740

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,740

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,740

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$215,740

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$578,646,423
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$20,672,298
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,740

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,740

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,740

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,196,155
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,740

0.1%

-0.0%

16.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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