Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:07AM EDT on Sep 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,638,011 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$7,951,874
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$4,115,946
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-52.9%$416,362
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-51.5%$153,806

51.3%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$7,951,874
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$4,115,946
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$416,362
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.0%$153,806

48.7%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:07AM EDT on Sep 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$744,093,660 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.6-23.7%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$257,416

21.1%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.7-12.9%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.4%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.5%$257,416

11.5%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$257,416

10.6%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$257,416

10.0%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.6%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$257,416

9.6%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.9%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.2%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$257,416

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$257,416

2.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.3%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$257,416

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.4%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$257,416

2.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.2%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.8%$257,416

2.0%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$257,416

1.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,521,744
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,305,141
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$257,416

0.9%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$257,416

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$701,370,947
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$257,416

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$257,416

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$257,416

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,416

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,416

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$257,416

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,416

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$701,370,947
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$39,638,685
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,416

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,521,744
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$257,416

0.1%

+0.0%

18.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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