Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:25AM EDT on Sep 07, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,752,911 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$8,013,906
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$4,165,028
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-52.9%$418,517
Betfair 🇬🇧50.7-51.3%$155,460

51.2%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$8,013,906
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$4,165,028
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$418,517
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.5%$155,460

48.8%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:11AM EDT on Sep 07, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$746,142,992 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.6-24.7%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$257,440

21.6%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-16.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.9%$257,440

12.2%

0.7%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$257,440

10.9%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$257,440

9.1%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.1-7.2%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.2-8.4%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$257,440

8.6%

-0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.3%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$257,440

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.4%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$257,440

3.0%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.3%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$257,440

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.1%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.4%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$257,440

2.2%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-1.7%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$257,440

1.8%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$257,440

1.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,527,930
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,314,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$257,440

0.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$257,440

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$703,099,246
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$257,440

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$257,440

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$257,440

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,440

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,440

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$257,440

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,440

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.2%$703,099,246
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$39,944,366
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,440

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,440

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,440

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$257,440

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,527,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$257,440

0.1%

+0.0%

18.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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