Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:14AM EDT on Sep 03, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,571,308 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$7,896,249
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$4,106,374
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.7-53.7%$415,842
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-51.5%$152,893

51.4%

0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$7,896,249
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$4,106,374
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.8-47.8%$415,842
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.0%$152,893

48.6%

-0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:04AM EDT on Sep 03, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$743,528,996 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎25.3-25.4%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$256,892

21.4%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.2-12.7%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.4-9.5%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.9%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-14.3%$256,892

11.6%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.4-11.5%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$256,892

10.5%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$256,892

9.8%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.6%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$256,892

9.3%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.2%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$256,892

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$256,892

2.9%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.2%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$256,892

2.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.1%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-3.1%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-3.3%$256,892

2.1%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.3%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.1%$256,892

2.1%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$256,892

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$256,892

0.9%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$1,515,918
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,304,848
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$256,892

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$700,877,781
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$256,892

0.7%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$256,892

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$256,892

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,892

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$256,892

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$256,892

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$256,892

0.2%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$700,877,781
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$39,573,571
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$256,892

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$256,892

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$256,892

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$256,892

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,515,918
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$256,892

0.1%

+0.0%

18.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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