Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:40AM EST on Nov 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$40,000,578 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸70.3-71.3%$25,111,787
Polymarket 🌎71.3-72.3%$13,607,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸68.9-69.9%$796,245
Betfair 🇬🇧71.5-72.0%$513,924

70.9%

0.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸28.7-29.7%$25,111,787
Polymarket 🌎27.7-28.7%$13,607,986
PredictIt 🇺🇸30.1-31.1%$796,245
Betfair 🇬🇧27.8-28.6%$513,924

29.1%

-0.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 53-47. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:20AM EST on Nov 01, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$774,604,519 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.8-18.4%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-21.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$278,687

18.7%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.5-12.8%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.1%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-12.5%$278,687

12.4%

0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.2-11.9%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$278,687

11.2%

0.4%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-10.0%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-10.9%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$278,687

10.4%

-0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.7%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-8.3%$278,687

9.8%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.1%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.4%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$278,687

3.4%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$278,687

3.1%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.4%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.1%$278,687

2.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-3.0%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$278,687

2.5%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$278,687

1.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$278,687

0.9%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$278,687

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.6%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.4%$1,596,162
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,443,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$278,687

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$723,890,083
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$278,687

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$278,687

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$278,687

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$278,687

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$278,687

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$278,687

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$278,687

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$723,890,083
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$47,395,637
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$278,687

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,596,162
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$278,687

0.1%

+0.0%

18.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd