Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:07PM EDT on Jun 11, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,460,236 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.4-57.4%$5,306,630
Polymarket 🌎54.5-55.4%$2,722,756
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.1-61.1%$334,501
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-51.8%$89,268
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-51.6%$7,068

55.0%

-0.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.6-43.6%$5,306,630
Polymarket 🌎44.6-45.5%$2,722,756
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.4-40.4%$334,501
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$89,268
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-49.8%$7,068

45.0%

0.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:35PM EDT on Jun 11, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$650,704,318 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.9-15.0%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,175,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-15.6%$221,730

16.6%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.5-14.6%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-16.1%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$1,175,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.9%$221,730

15.7%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.5-14.6%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,175,806

15.3%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.3-6.7%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.3%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,175,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$221,730

7.0%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-5.2%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,175,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$221,730

4.0%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.7%$221,730

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.5%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,175,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$221,730

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,175,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$221,730

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$221,730

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.5%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$221,730

1.9%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.6%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$221,730

1.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,257,902
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,175,806
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$221,730

1.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$221,730

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$221,730

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$221,730

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$624,789,015
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,259,691
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$221,730

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$221,730

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$221,730

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$221,730

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$221,730

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$221,730

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$221,730

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$221,730

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,257,902
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$221,730

0.1%

-0.0%

21.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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