Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24AM EST on Nov 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$148,814,565 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸100.0-100.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎99.9-100.0%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧100.0-100.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸98.5-98.5%$1,069,488

99.6%

22.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.0%$115,422,230
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$31,081,432
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.0%$0
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,069,488

0.4%

-22.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 56-44. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 7:16AM EST on Nov 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$783,381,972 bet so far
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.7-17.8%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-20.0%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-20.4%$285,338

17.5%

6.4%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.2-15.6%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-15.0%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.5%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-12.8%$285,338

13.7%

-4.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.6-13.7%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.1%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$285,338

12.6%

0.8%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.1-9.2%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-9.5%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$285,338

10.6%

-1.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.3-8.5%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧7.1-7.7%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-7.7%$285,338

9.4%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.1-5.2%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-5.3%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-4.5%$285,338

4.7%

2.4%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-4.2%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-4.2%$285,338

3.3%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.2%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.5%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$285,338

3.2%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$285,338

3.1%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$285,338

1.4%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.8%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,627,073
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,470,582
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$285,338

0.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.5%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$285,338

0.7%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$285,338

0.7%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$730,371,907
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$285,338

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$285,338

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$285,338

0.4%

-0.1%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$285,338

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$285,338

0.3%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$285,338

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$285,338

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$285,338

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$730,371,907
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$49,639,443
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$285,338

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$285,338

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$285,338

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,627,073
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$285,338

0.1%

+0.0%

15.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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