Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:25PM EDT on Oct 16, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$22,858,903 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸62.0-63.0%$15,142,335
Polymarket 🌎63.4-64.4%$6,848,706
PredictIt 🇺🇸62.0-64.0%$584,298
Betfair 🇬🇧62.5-62.9%$283,856

63.0%

0.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$15,142,335
Polymarket 🌎35.6-36.6%$6,848,706
PredictIt 🇺🇸36.0-38.0%$584,298
Betfair 🇬🇧37.0-37.6%$283,856

37.0%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:51PM EDT on Oct 16, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$765,093,341 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-21.1%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.5%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$267,826

19.0%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.8%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-14.3%$267,826

12.4%

0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.1-9.5%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-9.3%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$267,826

9.7%

-0.6%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.9-9.0%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$267,826

9.3%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.0%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-9.1%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$267,826

8.1%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$267,826

3.5%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.9%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$267,826

3.2%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.3%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$267,826

3.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$267,826

2.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$267,826

1.7%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$267,826

1.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.4%$1,554,524
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,404,509
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$267,826

0.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$267,826

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$716,933,265
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$267,826

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$267,826

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$267,826

0.5%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$716,933,265
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$44,935,513
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,554,524
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$267,826

0.1%

+0.0%

21.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd