Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:11AM EDT on Mar 09, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,074,018 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$2,074,018

56.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$2,074,018

43.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:44AM EDT on Mar 09, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$389,829,634 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-21.1%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧20.0-20.8%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$846,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-21.3%$184,328

21.6%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.4-18.5%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$846,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$184,328

19.7%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.7%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$846,757

11.0%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-6.0%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.3%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-9.0%$846,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.1%$184,328

6.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$846,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$184,328

3.4%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$846,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$184,328

3.1%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$846,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$184,328

2.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,038,290
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$846,757
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$184,328

2.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$184,328

1.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.1%$184,328

1.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-1.0%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$184,328

1.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$184,328

1.0%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$184,328

0.8%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$184,328

0.7%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$184,328

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$184,328

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$184,328

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$377,739,934
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$10,025,773
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$184,328

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$184,328

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$184,328

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,038,290
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.1%

+0.0%

20.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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