Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:18PM EDT on Sep 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$13,135,561 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$8,242,257
Polymarket 🌎46.5-47.5%$4,298,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-52.9%$427,791
Betfair 🇬🇧50.1-50.8%$167,448

50.4%

-0.6%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$8,242,257
Polymarket 🌎52.5-53.5%$4,298,065
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$427,791
Betfair 🇬🇧49.1-50.1%$167,448

49.6%

0.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:04PM EDT on Sep 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$748,478,608 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.7-23.8%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$261,380

20.9%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-9.3%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-10.9%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.2%$261,380

11.5%

-0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$261,380

10.9%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-12.9%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$261,380

9.9%

0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.6-7.7%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.6-8.0%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.3%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$261,380

8.2%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$261,380

3.3%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.5%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$261,380

3.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-3.0%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$261,380

2.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.2%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$261,380

2.2%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-1.7%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$261,380

1.8%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.3%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$261,380

1.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$1,531,611
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,320,398
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$261,380

0.8%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$261,380

0.8%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$704,961,755
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$261,380

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$261,380

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$261,380

0.4%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$261,380

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$261,380

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$261,380

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$261,380

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$704,961,755
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,418,897
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$261,380

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$261,380

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$261,380

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$261,380

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,531,611
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$261,380

0.1%

+0.0%

19.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd