Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:24PM EDT on Mar 31, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,399,573 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.1-49.2%$2,797,714
Polymarket 🌎50.5-51.5%$1,358,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.1-45.1%$215,380
Betfair 🇬🇧51.5-56.5%$23,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.9-57.5%$4,717

50.7%

-0.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.6-51.1%$2,797,714
Polymarket 🌎48.5-49.5%$1,358,520
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.9-55.9%$215,380
Betfair 🇬🇧43.6-48.3%$23,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.1-48.6%$4,717

49.3%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:26PM EDT on Mar 31, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$495,477,331 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.1-18.2%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧20.0-20.8%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$930,355
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-21.3%$198,792

19.7%

-0.0%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.7%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.6-18.7%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$930,355
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$198,792

18.8%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.7%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.2-12.3%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$930,355

12.1%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.9-6.1%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.4%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$930,355
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.5%$198,792

6.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$930,355
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$198,792

3.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$930,355
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$198,792

2.9%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$198,792

2.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$930,355
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$198,792

2.6%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,087,284
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$930,355
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$198,792

1.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.8%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$198,792

1.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$198,792

1.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$198,792

1.1%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$198,792

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$198,792

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$198,792

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$198,792

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$198,792

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$478,724,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,537,592
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,792

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,792

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,087,284
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.1%

-0.0%

22.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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