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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$3,740,817 bet so far
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧28.6-29.4%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧27.8-29.0%$1,318,773$262,886
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$67,785$1,341

28.8%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,318,773$262,886
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$67,785$1,341

17.8%

-0.8%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-17.9%$1,318,773$262,886
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-21.0%$67,785$1,341

17.1%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-4.0%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-4.2%$1,318,773$262,886
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$67,785$1,341

3.7%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$1,318,773$262,886

3.5%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.1%$1,318,773$262,886

2.8%

0.1%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,318,773$262,886

2.4%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,318,773$262,886

2.0%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$1,318,773$262,886

1.8%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,318,773$262,886

1.1%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.5%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.1%$1,318,773$262,886

0.8%

0.2%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.9%$1,318,773$262,886

0.6%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.9%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,318,773$262,886

0.6%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.1%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,318,773$262,886

0.6%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,318,773$262,886

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,773$262,886

0.5%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,773$262,886

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,773$262,886

0.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,773$262,886

0.2%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,318,773$262,886

0.2%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-5.0%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,318,773$262,886

0.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$2,354,259$705,400
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,318,773$262,886

0.1%

-0.0%

14.2%
Senate Seats 2022 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current senate is 50-50
Last updated: 3:20PM EST on Dec 01, 2022
Over $1 million bet. State betting is from PredictIt
Betfair to be added if liquid state market available
2023 Super Bowl WinnerSuper Bowl Winner. To be held on Feb 12, 2023

$1,594,714 bet so far
Chiefs details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧17.7-18.0%$1,595,043$1,594,714

17.9%

0.1%
Bills details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧16.2-16.5%$1,595,043$1,594,714

16.3%

0.2%
49ers details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧11.7-11.9%$1,595,043$1,594,714

11.8%

0.2%
Eagles details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,595,043$1,594,714

11.2%

-0.1%
Cowboys details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-8.7%$1,595,043$1,594,714

8.5%

-0.3%
Dolphins details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.3%$1,595,043$1,594,714

5.2%

-0.2%
Bengals details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$1,595,043$1,594,714

4.2%

-0.0%
Ravens details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.2%$1,595,043$1,594,714

4.1%

-0.2%
Vikings details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-4.0%$1,595,043$1,594,714

3.8%

-0.1%
Buccaneers details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.5-3.8%$1,595,043$1,594,714

3.7%

-0.1%
Titans details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.7%$1,595,043$1,594,714

2.6%

-0.2%
Chargers details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.6-1.9%$1,595,043$1,594,714

1.8%

-0.1%
Seahawks details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,595,043$1,594,714

1.1%

-0.0%
Jets details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$1,595,043$1,594,714

1.0%

-0.0%
Raiders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.9%

0.8%
Browns details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.6%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.8%

-0.1%
Giants details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.8%

-0.0%
Lions details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.8%

-0.2%
Commanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.7%

-0.0%
Colts details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.6%

-0.0%
Patriots details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.6%

+0.0%
Packers details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.4%

0.3%
Falcons details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.3%

-0.1%
Saints details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.2%

-0.0%
Bears details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.2%

-0.0%
Panthers details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.1%

+0.0%
Steelers details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.1%

+0.0%
Rams details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.1%

-0.0%
Broncos details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.1%

-0.0%
Jaguars details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.1%

-0.0%
Cardinals details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.0%

-0.0%
Texans details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,595,043$1,594,714

0.0%

-0.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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