Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:58PM EDT on Oct 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$18,814,104 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸63.0-64.0%$12,308,955
Polymarket 🌎66.3-67.3%$5,768,791
PredictIt 🇺🇸63.4-64.4%$506,760
Betfair 🇬🇧64.1-64.9%$231,618

64.7%

0.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$12,308,955
Polymarket 🌎32.7-33.7%$5,768,791
PredictIt 🇺🇸35.1-37.1%$506,760
Betfair 🇬🇧35.0-36.0%$231,618

35.3%

-0.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:31PM EDT on Oct 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$759,064,739 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.1-20.3%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$264,512

19.9%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$264,512

11.9%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.8-10.9%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$264,512

10.6%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.4%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$264,512

9.0%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.3-8.6%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$264,512

8.8%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.4%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$264,512

3.5%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$264,512

3.2%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$264,512

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-3.0%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,512

2.1%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.2%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$264,512

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.8%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$264,512

1.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,512

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$1,529,664
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%$264,512

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$712,666,592
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$264,512

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,512

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$264,512

0.4%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,512

0.3%

0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,512

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,512

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,512

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$712,666,592
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,249,776
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,512

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,512

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,512

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,512

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,529,664
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$264,512

0.1%

+0.0%

20.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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