Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:48PM EDT on Oct 11, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$21,129,518 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$14,006,164
Polymarket 🌎63.0-64.0%$6,316,642
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.7-60.7%$550,828
Betfair 🇬🇧63.3-63.7%$258,910

61.8%

-0.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$14,006,164
Polymarket 🌎36.0-37.0%$6,316,642
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.8-40.8%$550,828
Betfair 🇬🇧36.2-36.8%$258,910

38.2%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:13PM EDT on Oct 11, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$762,795,602 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.2-19.3%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$267,094

18.3%

-0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-11.9%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.6-13.5%$267,094

12.6%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-10.9%$267,094

11.4%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.6%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.0%$267,094

9.2%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-9.3%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$267,094

8.2%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.6%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.1%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$267,094

3.8%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$267,094

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.5%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$267,094

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$267,094

2.3%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.3%$267,094

1.6%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-2.3%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.7%$267,094

1.3%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$267,094

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$1,540,202
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,376,971
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$267,094

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$715,527,409
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$267,094

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$267,094

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$267,094

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,094

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,094

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,094

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,094

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$715,527,409
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$44,083,970
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$267,094

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,094

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,094

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,094

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,540,202
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$267,094

0.1%

+0.0%

20.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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