Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:20PM EDT on Mar 11, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,120,825 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$2,120,825

53.5%

-2.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$2,120,825

46.5%

2.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:07PM EDT on Mar 11, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$401,591,340 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.9-21.0%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-19.6%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$851,457
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$184,986

20.0%

-0.8%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.5-17.6%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.2%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$851,457
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-100.0%$184,986

19.7%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.5-15.6%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-14.3%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$851,457

16.2%

2.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.2%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.9%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$851,457
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.5%$184,986

6.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$851,457
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$184,986

3.4%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$851,457
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$184,986

3.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$851,457
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$184,986

2.6%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,058,488
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$851,457
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$184,986

2.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$184,986

1.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$184,986

1.4%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$184,986

1.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.4%$184,986

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$184,986

0.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$184,986

0.6%

-0.2%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$184,986

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$184,986

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$184,986

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$389,021,563
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$10,519,114
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$184,986

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$184,986

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,986

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,986

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,986

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,986

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,058,488
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,986

0.1%

+0.0%

17.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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