Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:46AM EDT on Sep 08, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,803,230 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$8,028,688
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$4,200,287
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.0-52.9%$418,874
Betfair 🇬🇧50.7-51.3%$155,451

51.1%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$8,028,688
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$4,200,287
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.1-48.0%$418,874
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.5%$155,451

48.9%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:26AM EDT on Sep 08, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$746,931,672 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.6-24.7%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-22.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-21.7%$257,743

21.6%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-100.0%$257,743

10.9%

-1.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.8-11.9%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-100.0%$257,743

10.2%

-0.7%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.7%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-10.9%$257,743

9.2%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.0-7.1%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.1-8.2%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.9-100.0%$257,743

8.1%

-0.5%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.6-3.7%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.1-4.3%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.9%$257,743

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.7%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$257,743

3.0%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.4%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$257,743

3.0%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.1%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.4%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-100.0%$257,743

2.1%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-1.8%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-100.0%$257,743

1.6%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.3%$1,527,548
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,314,324
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.4%$257,743

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$703,821,831
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$257,743

0.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-3.6%$257,743

0.6%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-100.0%$257,743

0.5%

-0.5%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$257,743

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$257,743

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$257,743

0.3%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$257,743

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$257,743

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,743

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.2%$703,821,831
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,010,226
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$257,743

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,743

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$257,743

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$257,743

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,527,548
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$257,743

0.1%

+0.0%

21.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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