Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:37PM EDT on Jun 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,264,381 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.5-54.5%$5,193,628
Polymarket 🌎53.5-54.5%$2,648,334
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.9-60.9%$326,575
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-51.8%$88,776
Smarkets 🇬🇧49.9-51.2%$7,068

54.0%

-1.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.5-46.5%$5,193,628
Polymarket 🌎45.5-46.5%$2,648,334
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.6-40.6%$326,575
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$88,776
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.0-50.9%$7,068

46.0%

1.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:06PM EDT on Jun 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$641,751,140 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.2-16.3%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-15.6%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,161,491
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$218,042

17.6%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.5-15.6%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-17.2%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-20.0%$1,161,491
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-17.5%$218,042

16.4%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.2-14.3%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-11.9%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,161,491

15.3%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.7-4.8%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.7-6.8%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.1%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,161,491
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$218,042

6.6%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.3-5.5%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,161,491
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$218,042

4.3%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$218,042

3.3%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,161,491
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$218,042

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,161,491
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$218,042

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$218,042

2.3%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.4%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$218,042

1.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$1,246,225
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,161,491
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$218,042

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-2.0%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$218,042

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$218,042

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$218,042

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$218,042

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$218,042

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$616,328,942
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$22,819,901
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,042

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,042

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,042

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,042

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,246,225
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$218,042

0.1%

-0.0%

19.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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