Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:57PM EST on Mar 02, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$1,770,005 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$1,770,105

59.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$1,770,105

40.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 9:51AM EST on Mar 02, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$363,127,089 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.2-21.3%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧20.8-21.3%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$832,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-21.7%$181,690

22.2%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.0-17.1%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$832,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-100.0%$181,690

18.7%

-0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.1-8.3%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$832,828

9.6%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.2-6.4%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-6.1%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$832,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.9%$181,690

6.5%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.4%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$832,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$181,690

3.5%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.5%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$832,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$181,690

3.4%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$832,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$181,690

2.8%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,032,851
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-5.0%$832,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$181,690

2.2%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.5%$181,690

1.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$181,690

1.7%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$181,690

1.6%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.2%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$181,690

1.4%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$181,690

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$181,690

0.8%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$181,690

0.6%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$351,727,828
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,353,232
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$181,690

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$181,690

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$181,690

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$181,690

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$181,690

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,690

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,690

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,690

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,032,851
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$181,690

0.1%

+0.0%

20.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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