Odds update every minute | Last updated: 7:10PM EDT on Oct 22, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$26,055,876 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸68.0-69.0%$17,148,040
Polymarket 🌎68.0-69.0%$7,894,697
PredictIt 🇺🇸65.7-67.6%$648,310
Betfair 🇬🇧67.8-68.3%$370,190

67.9%

2.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$17,148,040
Polymarket 🌎31.0-32.0%$7,894,697
PredictIt 🇺🇸30.9-35.7%$648,310
Betfair 🇬🇧31.7-32.2%$370,190

32.1%

-2.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:38PM EDT on Oct 22, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$767,587,902 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$274,460

19.4%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.7-12.8%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-9.4%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-16.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$274,460

12.1%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.4-9.5%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.4%$274,460

10.5%

0.3%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$274,460

10.2%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.6%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.8%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.0%$274,460

8.6%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.3%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$274,460

3.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$274,460

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.8%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$274,460

3.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$274,460

2.3%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$274,460

1.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$274,460

1.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.9%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.5%$274,460

0.9%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$1,580,000
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,416,037
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$274,460

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$718,317,762
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$274,460

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$274,460

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$274,460

0.4%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$274,460

0.3%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$274,460

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$274,460

0.3%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$274,460

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$274,460

0.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$718,317,762
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-0.1%$45,999,643
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$274,460

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,580,000
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$274,460

0.1%

+0.0%

19.3%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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