Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:32PM EDT on Jun 17, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,558,091 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,366,428
Polymarket 🌎56.1-57.1%$2,757,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.1-60.1%$336,111
Betfair 🇬🇧52.4-52.7%$91,222
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.9-52.6%$7,300

55.6%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,366,428
Polymarket 🌎42.9-43.9%$2,757,030
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.4-41.4%$336,111
Betfair 🇬🇧47.2-47.7%$91,222
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.6-48.9%$7,300

44.4%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:27PM EDT on Jun 17, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$656,797,926 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,182,650
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$223,207

17.3%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.8-15.9%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$1,182,650

15.8%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.8%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,182,650
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.7-16.7%$223,207

15.5%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.6-5.7%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.3-6.4%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.5%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,182,650
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$223,207

6.8%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.2%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,182,650
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$223,207

4.1%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$223,207

3.3%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,182,650
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$223,207

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,182,650
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$223,207

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$223,207

2.4%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.6%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.2%$223,207

1.7%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,275,247
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,182,650
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$223,207

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.5%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$223,207

1.2%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.7%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$223,207

1.1%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$223,207

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$223,207

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$223,207

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$630,456,301
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,661,029
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$223,207

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$223,207

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$223,207

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$223,207

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$223,207

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$223,207

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$223,207

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,275,247
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$223,207

0.1%

-0.0%

20.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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