Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:52PM EDT on Aug 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,629,398 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.5-54.5%$6,373,128
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$3,755,631
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$365,539
Betfair 🇬🇧54.3-54.6%$127,513
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.1-54.1%$7,687

54.5%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.5-46.5%$6,373,128
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$3,755,631
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$365,539
Betfair 🇬🇧45.4-45.8%$127,513
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.2-47.6%$7,687

45.5%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:43PM EDT on Aug 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$716,229,219 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.4-21.5%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-23.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$246,056

19.0%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.9-13.0%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$246,056

12.8%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.9-11.0%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.9%$246,056

12.6%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.3-11.0%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.6%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$246,056

10.6%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.5-7.8%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.9%$246,056

9.7%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.3%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.8-4.9%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$246,056

3.7%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$246,056

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$246,056

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.8-2.1%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$246,056

2.4%

0.7%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.9%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$246,056

2.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$246,056

1.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,418,649
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,253,371
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$246,056

1.2%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$246,056

1.0%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$677,838,894
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$246,056

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$246,056

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$246,056

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$246,056

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$246,056

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$246,056

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$246,056

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$677,838,894
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$35,472,249
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$246,056

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$246,056

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$246,056

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$246,056

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,418,649
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$246,056

0.1%

+0.0%

14.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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