Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:29AM EDT on Mar 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,136,972 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$2,136,972

53.0%

-1.3%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$2,136,972

47.0%

1.3%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:19PM EDT on Mar 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$407,538,977 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.6-20.7%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.6%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$853,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$185,420

20.8%

0.7%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.2-17.4%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$853,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$185,420

19.9%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.3-16.5%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧13.2-14.3%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$853,448

15.7%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.2%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$853,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$185,420

6.2%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$853,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$185,420

3.3%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$853,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$185,420

3.1%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$853,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$185,420

2.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,056,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$853,448
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$185,420

2.3%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$185,420

1.6%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$185,420

1.4%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$185,420

1.2%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$185,420

1.0%

0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.4%$185,420

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$185,420

0.7%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$394,831,963
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$185,420

0.5%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$185,420

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$185,420

0.4%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$185,420

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$185,420

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,420

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,420

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,420

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,420

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,056,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,420

0.1%

+0.0%

16.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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