Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:20AM EDT on Aug 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,344,656 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$7,750,116
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,034,172
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$411,508
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.5%$148,860

50.5%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$7,750,116
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,034,172
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$411,508
Betfair 🇬🇧50.7-51.3%$148,860

49.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:00AM EDT on Aug 28, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$735,439,028 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎24.1-24.2%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.9%$254,918

20.8%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.7-13.8%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.6%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.9%$254,918

12.2%

-0.7%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.7%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-13.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$254,918

10.9%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.9-10.0%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-9.5%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$254,918

9.9%

-0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.6-8.7%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.5%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$254,918

9.2%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$254,918

3.3%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$254,918

2.9%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.6%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$254,918

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.6%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$254,918

2.1%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.1-2.5%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$254,918

2.0%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.4%$254,918

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$254,918

0.9%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.1%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.3%$1,508,481
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,290,019
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$254,918

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$693,688,350
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$254,918

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$254,918

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$254,918

0.3%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$254,918

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,918

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,918

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$693,688,350
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$38,697,267
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,918

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$254,918

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,918

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,918

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$254,918

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,508,481
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$254,918

0.1%

+0.0%

17.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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