Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:37PM EDT on Jul 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,152,980 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$5,619,060
Polymarket 🌎54.1-55.1%$3,093,134
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.0-60.0%$340,848
Betfair 🇬🇧55.8-56.5%$92,612
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.2%$7,326

57.0%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$5,619,060
Polymarket 🌎44.9-45.9%$3,093,134
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$340,848
Betfair 🇬🇧43.5-44.2%$92,612
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.3%$7,326

43.0%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 50-50. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:21PM EDT on Jul 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$675,312,146 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,201,976
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.5%$232,853

19.1%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.7%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.2%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,201,976

14.8%

-0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.0-12.1%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-13.9%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-18.0%$1,201,976
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-14.3%$232,853

13.7%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.3-7.5%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-9.0%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,201,976
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-9.1%$232,853

8.0%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,201,976
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$232,853

3.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.7%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.5%$232,853

3.1%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,201,976
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$232,853

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,201,976
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$232,853

2.7%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.5%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$232,853

2.1%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$232,853

2.1%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$1,298,602
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,201,976
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$232,853

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$232,853

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$232,853

1.0%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$232,853

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$232,853

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$647,056,497
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$25,523,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,853

0.4%

0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$232,853

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$232,853

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,853

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$232,853

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,853

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$232,853

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$232,853

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,298,602
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$232,853

0.1%

-0.0%

21.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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