Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:10PM EDT on Apr 05, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,702,619 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.6-51.1%$2,921,427
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$1,519,770
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.8-45.8%$233,784
Betfair 🇬🇧56.2-61.7%$24,958
Smarkets 🇬🇧56.2-63.3%$4,728

53.3%

0.6%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.9-49.3%$2,921,427
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$1,519,770
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.7-55.7%$233,784
Betfair 🇬🇧38.2-43.9%$24,958
Smarkets 🇬🇧36.8-43.6%$4,728

46.7%

-0.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:53PM EDT on Apr 05, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$509,354,783 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.8-17.0%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-18.1%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.4%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$947,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.6-20.4%$204,277

19.5%

+0.0%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.7%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.1-18.7%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$947,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-16.9%$204,277

18.5%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.2-10.3%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.3-12.6%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$947,216

11.0%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.8-6.0%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.8%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$947,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$204,277

6.2%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.6%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.8%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$947,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$204,277

2.9%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$947,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$204,277

2.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$204,277

2.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.4%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$947,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$204,277

2.3%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,099,693
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$947,216
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$204,277

2.0%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.4%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%$204,277

1.7%

0.6%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-1.6%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$204,277

1.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$204,277

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$204,277

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$204,277

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$204,277

0.5%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$204,277

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$204,277

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$491,660,810
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,447,877
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$204,277

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$204,277

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,099,693
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$204,277

0.1%

+0.0%

23.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd