Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:01AM EDT on Apr 11, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$5,089,150 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$3,114,183
Polymarket 🌎53.0-54.0%$1,698,457
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.3-49.3%$245,047
Betfair 🇬🇧53.1-57.4%$26,702
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.1-59.1%$4,771

52.4%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸51.0-52.0%$3,114,183
Polymarket 🌎46.0-47.0%$1,698,457
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.2-52.2%$245,047
Betfair 🇬🇧42.3-47.1%$26,702
Smarkets 🇬🇧40.6-47.1%$4,771

47.6%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:02AM EDT on Apr 11, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$533,135,608 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.7-18.8%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$953,325
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.5%$205,797

19.0%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$953,325
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$205,797

18.8%

0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.5%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$953,325

11.5%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.1-6.2%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.1%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$953,325
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.1%$205,797

6.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-3.0%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$953,325
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$205,797

3.2%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.2%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-3.0%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$953,325
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$205,797

2.9%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$205,797

2.9%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.7%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$953,325
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$205,797

2.5%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,131,689
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$953,325
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$205,797

1.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.8%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$205,797

1.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.0%$205,797

1.5%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$205,797

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$205,797

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$205,797

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$205,797

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$205,797

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$205,797

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$514,654,837
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$16,202,573
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$205,797

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$205,797

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,797

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,797

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,797

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,797

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,131,689
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,797

0.1%

+0.0%

22.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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