Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:33AM EDT on Aug 25, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$12,191,616 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$7,622,577
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,017,654
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$405,683
Betfair 🇬🇧47.1-49.0%$147,242

51.1%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$7,622,577
Polymarket 🌎49.5-50.5%$4,017,654
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$405,683
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-52.9%$147,242

48.9%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:32AM EDT on Aug 25, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$733,590,930 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.2-23.3%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$254,323

20.3%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.1-14.2%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.5%$254,323

12.2%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.7-10.8%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.6%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-14.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.4%$254,323

11.1%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$254,323

10.1%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.3-8.8%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.4-8.6%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.4%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-11.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$254,323

9.4%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.5-4.6%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$254,323

3.4%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.3%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$254,323

3.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.8%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$254,323

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.6%$254,323

2.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.7%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$254,323

2.1%

-0.3%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$254,323

1.4%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$254,323

1.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.3%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$1,501,437
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,281,596
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$254,323

0.9%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$692,354,362
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$254,323

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$254,323

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$254,323

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,323

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,323

0.2%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,323

0.2%

-0.1%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$254,323

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$692,354,362
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.3%$38,207,835
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$254,323

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,323

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$254,323

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$254,323

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,501,437
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$254,323

0.1%

+0.0%

16.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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