Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:22PM EDT on May 18, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$7,496,718 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.5-54.5%$4,685,814
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$2,423,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸57.8-58.8%$302,308
Betfair 🇬🇧50.4-51.7%$79,427
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.4-51.8%$5,360

53.1%

-1.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.5-46.5%$4,685,814
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$2,423,809
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.2-42.2%$302,308
Betfair 🇬🇧48.2-49.7%$79,427
Smarkets 🇬🇧48.8-52.1%$5,360

46.9%

1.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:22PM EDT on May 18, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$612,019,811 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.6-18.7%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$1,138,802
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$215,838

19.3%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.6-16.7%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-20.0%$1,138,802
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.5%$215,838

17.3%

-0.5%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.1%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-17.0%$1,138,802

14.6%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.6-5.7%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧5.6-5.9%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,138,802
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.7-6.7%$215,838

6.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.2-6.3%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-5.0%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,138,802
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$215,838

4.2%

0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$215,838

3.5%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,138,802
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$215,838

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.8%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,138,802
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$215,838

2.9%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-3.8%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-3.6%$215,838

2.6%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.2%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$215,838

2.5%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.3-1.4%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$215,838

1.9%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,209,583
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,138,802
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$215,838

1.7%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$215,838

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$215,838

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$215,838

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$215,838

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$588,202,909
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$21,255,497
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,838

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$215,838

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$215,838

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,838

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,838

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,838

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$215,838

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,209,583
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$215,838

0.1%

+0.0%

16.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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