Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:03AM EDT on Jun 28, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,763,910 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸58.0-59.0%$5,519,666
Polymarket 🌎57.0-58.0%$2,806,932
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.5-60.5%$338,652
Betfair 🇬🇧55.5-56.8%$91,334
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.2%$7,326

57.5%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.0-42.0%$5,519,666
Polymarket 🌎42.0-43.0%$2,806,932
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-41.0%$338,652
Betfair 🇬🇧43.5-44.2%$91,334
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.3%$7,326

42.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:57PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$668,184,769 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.2-19.3%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,189,840
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.9%$229,101

18.6%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.6-12.7%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,189,840
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-15.6%$229,101

14.7%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.0-11.2%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-11.1%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,189,840

13.7%

-0.6%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.1-8.1%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,189,840
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-8.3%$229,101

7.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-5.0%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-6.0%$1,189,840
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$229,101

3.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.8%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.7%$229,101

3.2%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,189,840
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$229,101

2.9%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,189,840
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$229,101

2.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.9%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$229,101

2.2%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.7%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.6%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$229,101

2.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.5%$229,101

1.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,272,781
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,189,840
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.5%$229,101

1.1%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$229,101

1.0%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$229,101

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$229,101

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$640,636,031
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,863,202
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$229,101

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$229,101

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$229,101

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$229,101

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$229,101

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$229,101

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$229,101

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$229,101

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,272,781
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$229,101

0.1%

-0.0%

22.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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