Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:18PM EST on Mar 07, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,038,382 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸56.0-57.0%$2,038,382

56.5%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.0-44.0%$2,038,382

43.5%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:08PM EST on Mar 07, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$384,720,907 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-21.2%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸21.0-22.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧20.4-20.8%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.0-26.0%$841,289
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.4-21.3%$184,328

21.9%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.9-17.0%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$841,289
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$184,328

19.0%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.7%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$841,289

10.3%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-6.1%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.9%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$841,289
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$184,328

6.1%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.6%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$841,289
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-3.1%$184,328

3.6%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$841,289
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$184,328

3.1%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.1%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$841,289
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$184,328

2.7%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,042,630
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$841,289
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$184,328

2.1%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$184,328

1.9%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$184,328

1.8%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$184,328

1.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.8%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.9-1.8%$184,328

1.2%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$184,328

0.8%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$184,328

0.7%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$184,328

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$184,328

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$184,328

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$372,779,910
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$9,892,287
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$184,328

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$184,328

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$184,328

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,042,630
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$184,328

0.1%

+0.0%

20.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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