Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:55AM EDT on Apr 27, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$6,308,723 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸47.0-48.0%$3,799,063
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$2,194,071
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.5-50.5%$277,675
Betfair 🇬🇧54.3-54.9%$32,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧55.1-57.3%$5,309

52.0%

-0.9%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$3,799,063
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$2,194,071
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.5-50.5%$277,675
Betfair 🇬🇧45.0-45.8%$32,605
Smarkets 🇬🇧41.9-45.7%$5,309

48.0%

0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 51 - 49
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:57AM EDT on Apr 27, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$576,184,083 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.9-19.0%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧18.2-19.2%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,039,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$210,702

19.9%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.7-17.8%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-18.9%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,039,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-19.6%$210,702

18.7%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.7%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.1%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,039,380

11.9%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.7-5.9%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-5.1%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.0%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,039,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.1%$210,702

6.0%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.4-3.7%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,039,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$210,702

3.5%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-4.0%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.7%$210,702

3.3%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.2%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,039,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$210,702

2.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-3.1%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,039,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$210,702

2.8%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-3.7%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$210,702

2.3%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,168,063
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,039,380
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$210,702

1.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.6-1.9%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$210,702

1.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$210,702

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$210,702

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$210,702

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$210,702

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$210,702

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$555,820,349
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$17,947,327
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$210,702

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,168,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$210,702

0.1%

-0.0%

19.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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