Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:20PM EDT on Jun 13, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,502,936 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.4-56.4%$5,335,387
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$2,734,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$335,384
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-51.8%$90,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-51.6%$7,068

54.8%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.6-44.6%$5,335,387
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$2,734,906
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$335,384
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$90,231
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-49.8%$7,068

45.2%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:23PM EDT on Jun 13, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$652,492,705 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.1-15.2%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧13.9-14.7%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧14.3-15.6%$222,110

16.7%

+0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.2-14.3%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧14.3-16.1%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.1%$222,110

15.4%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.5-14.6%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.5%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-18.0%$1,180,759

15.2%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.3-5.4%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.3-6.5%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧6.1-6.3%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.1-6.7%$222,110

6.8%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.3%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.4%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$222,110

4.0%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.7%$222,110

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.1-3.2%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$222,110

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.0%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$222,110

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$222,110

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.6%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$222,110

2.1%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.6%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.8%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$222,110

1.4%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,267,264
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,180,759
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$222,110

1.4%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$222,110

1.0%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$222,110

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$222,110

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$626,511,627
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,315,844
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$222,110

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$222,110

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$222,110

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$222,110

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,110

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,110

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$222,110

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$222,110

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,267,264
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$222,110

0.1%

-0.0%

21.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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