Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:22AM EST on Nov 09, 2016

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair and PredictIt | How People Bet

Odds update every minute. BROWN means a state has been called by the betting market

Chance of winning...

Presidency

97.5%

79.2%

2.2%

-79.2%

0.1%

+0.0%

0.1%

+0.0%

0.1%

+0.0%
Electoral College (estimate: 306-232. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every minute. Last updated: 1:21AM EST on Nov 09, 2016
State betting is from PredictIt. Betfair will be included when it has a liquid market for states
Candidates' chances in the Presidency odds column are from Betfair (over $140 million bet)

Candidate odds may not add up to 100% and may all rise or fall at the same time due
to the small chance of a candidate dropping out and a replacement candidate winning


Books we like:
"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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