Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:45PM EDT on Aug 05, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,597,514 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$6,354,876
Polymarket 🌎54.5-55.6%$3,743,461
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.0-58.0%$365,403
Betfair 🇬🇧53.4-54.2%$126,087
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.6-54.1%$7,687

54.6%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$6,354,876
Polymarket 🌎44.4-45.5%$3,743,461
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.0-44.0%$365,403
Betfair 🇬🇧45.8-46.6%$126,087
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.5-47.8%$7,687

45.4%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:42PM EDT on Aug 05, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$715,285,262 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.9-21.0%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-22.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$245,998

18.7%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.9%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.9%$245,998

13.2%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.6-11.7%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-13.5%$245,998

12.6%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.5%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.7-9.8%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%$245,998

10.2%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.5-8.9%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.1-8.4%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.9%$245,998

9.7%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.8%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$245,998

3.7%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$245,998

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$245,998

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.8-3.9%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$245,998

2.4%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.3%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.5%$245,998

1.7%

0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,413,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,249,386
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$245,998

1.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$245,998

1.2%

-0.3%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.1%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$245,998

1.1%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$677,146,941
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$245,998

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$245,998

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$245,998

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$245,998

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$245,998

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$245,998

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$245,998

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$677,146,941
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$35,229,800
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$245,998

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,998

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,998

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$245,998

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,413,242
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$245,998

0.1%

+0.0%

14.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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