Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:34PM EDT on Apr 13, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$5,431,029 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$3,270,237
Polymarket 🌎55.0-56.0%$1,879,624
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.2-51.3%$248,653
Betfair 🇬🇧50.6-54.2%$27,780
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.5-55.8%$4,788

52.6%

0.7%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.5-49.5%$3,270,237
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$1,879,624
PredictIt 🇺🇸49.2-50.3%$248,653
Betfair 🇬🇧45.8-49.4%$27,780
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.8-48.9%$4,788

47.4%

-0.7%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:28PM EDT on Apr 13, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$539,826,270 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.7-18.8%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$967,109
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$207,490

19.5%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.8-16.9%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$967,109
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-20.0%$207,490

18.8%

0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.4-9.7%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$967,109

11.0%

-0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.4-5.5%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.1-6.4%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-4.8%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$967,109
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.9%$207,490

6.0%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.4%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.5%$207,490

3.1%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.6%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$967,109
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$207,490

3.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.3-3.5%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$967,109
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$207,490

3.0%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$967,109
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$207,490

2.5%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$207,490

1.9%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-2.1%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$207,490

1.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-1.0%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,139,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$967,109
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$207,490

1.7%

-0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.7%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$207,490

1.0%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$207,490

1.0%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$207,490

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$207,490

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$207,490

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$207,490

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$521,198,854
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$16,340,002
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$207,490

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$207,490

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,139,506
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.1%

+0.0%

22.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd