Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:47PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,709,008 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.6-58.6%$5,478,582
Polymarket 🌎57.0-58.0%$2,793,374
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.7-60.7%$338,239
Betfair 🇬🇧55.6-56.9%$91,487
Smarkets 🇬🇧54.4-56.2%$7,326

57.4%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸41.4-42.4%$5,478,582
Polymarket 🌎42.0-43.0%$2,793,374
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.8-40.8%$338,239
Betfair 🇬🇧43.2-44.3%$91,487
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-45.3%$7,326

42.6%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:38PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$667,400,637 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.6-19.7%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.1%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,188,637
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.9%$228,723

18.7%

0.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.1-14.2%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧13.2-14.7%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,188,637
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-15.6%$228,723

14.9%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-11.4%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,188,637

14.6%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.7-8.0%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,188,637
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$228,723

7.1%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-5.0%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,188,637
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$228,723

3.6%

-0.2%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.7%$228,723

3.3%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,188,637
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$228,723

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,188,637
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-2.0%$228,723

2.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$228,723

2.2%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.6%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$228,723

2.2%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$228,723

1.3%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$1,271,479
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,188,637
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.5%$228,723

1.1%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.4%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$228,723

1.0%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$228,723

0.5%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$228,723

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$640,024,598
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$24,692,919
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,723

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$228,723

0.3%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$228,723

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$228,723

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,723

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,723

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$228,723

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,723

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,271,479
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$228,723

0.1%

-0.0%

21.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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