Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:31PM EDT on Jul 19, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,773,982 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$6,062,990
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,230,334
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$353,708
Betfair 🇬🇧54.7-55.6%$119,378
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.4-54.9%$7,630

56.3%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$6,062,990
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,230,334
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$353,708
Betfair 🇬🇧44.3-45.5%$119,378
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.1-47.5%$7,630

43.7%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:10PM EDT on Jul 19, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$694,040,094 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,215,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$235,358

19.1%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-12.2%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,215,832

14.7%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-13.2%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,215,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.5-13.9%$235,358

13.4%

0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.0%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.5-8.6%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-7.7%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,215,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.5%$235,358

9.0%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.1%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.3-4.5%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,215,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$235,358

3.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.9%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$235,358

3.1%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,215,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$235,358

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,215,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$235,358

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.8%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$235,358

2.4%

0.7%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.0%$235,358

1.9%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$1,336,568
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,215,832
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$235,358

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$235,358

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$235,358

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$235,358

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$235,358

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$235,358

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$235,358

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$664,180,866
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$27,074,007
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$235,358

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$235,358

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$235,358

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$235,358

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$235,358

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$235,358

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,336,568
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$235,358

0.1%

-0.0%

20.0%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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