Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:16AM EDT on Aug 12, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$11,025,944 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$6,690,079
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$3,823,072
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.2-55.2%$376,479
Betfair 🇬🇧49.0-50.0%$136,314

50.9%

-2.9%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.5-49.5%$6,690,079
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$3,823,072
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.3-46.3%$376,479
Betfair 🇬🇧50.0-51.0%$136,314

49.1%

2.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:55AM EDT on Aug 12, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$719,730,058 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.6-21.7%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-18.2%$248,204

19.5%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.3-12.4%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$248,204

12.4%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.7%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$248,204

11.2%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.6-11.0%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-12.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$248,204

10.6%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.7%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.2-8.6%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-13.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-11.4%$248,204

9.8%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.7%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.2%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$248,204

3.8%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.1%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$248,204

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$248,204

2.8%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.7-4.0%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.9%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.6%$248,204

2.6%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.9-2.2%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.6%$248,204

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$248,204

1.2%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$248,204

1.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.6%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$1,441,032
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,262,791
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$248,204

1.0%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$680,641,912
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$248,204

0.8%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$248,204

0.4%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$248,204

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$248,204

0.3%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,204

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,204

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$248,204

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$680,641,912
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$36,136,119
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$248,204

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,204

0.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$248,204

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$248,204

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,441,032
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$248,204

0.1%

+0.0%

15.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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