Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:35PM EDT on Oct 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$18,769,026 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸63.0-64.0%$12,300,627
Polymarket 🌎65.0-66.0%$5,731,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸63.7-64.7%$505,263
Betfair 🇬🇧64.1-64.9%$231,622

64.4%

0.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.0-37.0%$12,300,627
Polymarket 🌎34.0-35.0%$5,731,591
PredictIt 🇺🇸33.3-38.2%$505,263
Betfair 🇬🇧35.0-36.0%$231,622

35.6%

-0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:19PM EDT on Oct 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$759,059,595 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.2-20.3%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$264,512

19.9%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.6%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-13.2%$264,512

11.9%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.8-10.9%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.6%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.5-10.9%$264,512

10.6%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.1-9.5%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$264,512

9.1%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.2-8.5%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.3-10.2%$264,512

8.7%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.0%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.2%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$264,512

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$264,512

3.2%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$264,512

3.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$264,512

2.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.2%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$264,512

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.8%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$264,512

1.0%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$264,512

0.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$1,529,617
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,357,110
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%$264,512

0.8%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$712,665,584
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$264,512

0.6%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$264,512

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$264,512

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,512

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$264,512

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.5%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,512

0.2%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,512

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$712,665,584
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$43,244,342
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$264,512

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,512

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,512

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$264,512

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,529,617
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$264,512

0.1%

+0.0%

20.5%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd