Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:43PM EDT on Jun 19, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,594,779 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,396,360
Polymarket 🌎56.0-57.0%$2,762,889
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-60.4%$336,786
Betfair 🇬🇧54.1-58.6%$91,446
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.5-53.8%$7,300

56.5%

0.9%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,396,360
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$2,762,889
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.6-41.6%$336,786
Betfair 🇬🇧41.4-45.9%$91,446
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.6-48.0%$7,300

43.5%

-0.9%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:23PM EDT on Jun 19, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$659,486,147 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.3-18.4%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,183,822
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$226,712

18.0%

0.8%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.0-16.1%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-15.6%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,183,822
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.2-16.7%$226,712

15.7%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.6-15.7%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.2%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-18.0%$1,183,822

15.5%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.6%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.2-6.3%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧6.3-6.5%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,183,822
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.3-6.7%$226,712

6.8%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-5.1%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.8%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,183,822
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$226,712

4.0%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.8%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.7%$226,712

3.4%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.2-2.3%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,183,822
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$226,712

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-2.9%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,183,822
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$226,712

2.9%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.2%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$226,712

2.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.0%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.0%$226,712

1.5%

-0.3%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,262,566
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,183,822
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$226,712

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$226,712

1.2%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.2%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$226,712

0.9%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$226,712

0.5%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$226,712

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$226,712

0.4%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$632,901,190
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,912,074
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,712

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$226,712

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$226,712

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,712

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,712

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$226,712

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,712

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,262,566
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$226,712

0.1%

-0.0%

20.4%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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