Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:40PM EDT on Jun 08, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$8,388,275 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸57.0-58.0%$5,264,538
Polymarket 🌎54.5-55.4%$2,694,300
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.2-61.2%$333,012
Betfair 🇬🇧51.6-51.8%$89,357
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.8-51.6%$7,068

55.2%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$5,264,538
Polymarket 🌎44.6-45.5%$2,694,300
PredictIt 🇺🇸38.8-39.8%$333,012
Betfair 🇬🇧48.1-48.5%$89,357
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.9-49.8%$7,068

44.8%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:21PM EDT on Jun 08, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$647,524,027 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.4-15.5%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧13.5-14.3%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,167,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.5-15.2%$218,619

16.7%

-0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.0-14.1%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧15.2-16.1%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$1,167,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.9%$218,619

16.0%

-0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.8-16.5%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-13.2%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,167,929

15.7%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.4-6.7%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,167,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.7%$218,619

6.6%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.2-5.3%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.4-5.5%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,167,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$218,619

4.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.7%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.6%$218,619

3.5%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.2%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$218,619

3.1%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.8-3.0%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,167,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$218,619

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$218,619

2.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-2.4%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$218,619

1.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-2.2%$1,252,815
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,167,929
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-2.0%$218,619

1.4%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.8%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$218,619

1.3%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.9-1.3%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$218,619

1.0%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$218,619

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$218,619

0.5%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$621,884,560
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$23,000,835
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$218,619

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$218,619

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$218,619

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,252,815
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$218,619

0.1%

-0.0%

20.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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