Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:32PM EDT on Mar 13, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,170,617 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.5-53.5%$2,170,617

53.0%

+0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.5-47.5%$2,170,617

47.0%

-0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 49-51. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:10PM EDT on Mar 13, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$410,788,352 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.3-20.4%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-20.0%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$854,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-20.4%$185,452

20.5%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.1-17.2%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.5%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$854,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.9-18.9%$185,452

19.1%

-0.8%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎15.7-15.9%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧13.2-13.9%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-17.0%$854,704

16.0%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.0%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$854,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$185,452

6.1%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$854,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$185,452

3.4%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.3%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$854,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$185,452

3.2%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$854,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$185,452

2.5%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,048,401
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$854,704
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$185,452

2.1%

-0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$185,452

1.8%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-1.8%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$185,452

1.5%

0.3%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.5%$185,452

1.4%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$185,452

0.9%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.9%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$185,452

0.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$185,452

0.5%

-0.4%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$185,452

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$185,452

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$185,452

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$397,675,510
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,026,079
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$185,452

0.3%

-0.1%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$185,452

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,452

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,452

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,452

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,452

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,048,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,452

0.1%

+0.0%

17.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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