Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:59PM EDT on Jul 29, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,000,798 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.4-56.4%$6,178,842
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,333,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸58.4-60.4%$360,274
Betfair 🇬🇧53.7-55.2%$120,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.4-54.6%$7,679

56.0%

-0.2%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸43.6-44.6%$6,178,842
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,333,242
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.6-41.6%$360,274
Betfair 🇬🇧45.0-46.2%$120,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧44.5-47.5%$7,679

44.0%

0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:49PM EDT on Jul 29, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$710,662,121 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.0-20.1%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$244,026

18.9%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.3-12.4%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.6%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$244,026

13.2%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.6-11.7%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$244,026

12.3%

+0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.2-9.3%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.4%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$244,026

10.6%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.2%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.6-8.7%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-13.2%$244,026

10.1%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.8%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.9%$244,026

3.9%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$244,026

3.0%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.6-2.7%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$244,026

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.3%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$244,026

2.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$244,026

2.0%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.8%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$1,369,285
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,241,455
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$244,026

1.5%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.2%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$244,026

1.5%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$244,026

1.2%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$673,698,312
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$244,026

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$244,026

0.4%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$244,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$244,026

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$244,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$673,698,312
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,107,435
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,026

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,026

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$244,026

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,026

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,026

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,026

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,369,285
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$244,026

0.1%

+0.0%

12.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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