Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:21PM EDT on Apr 08, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,956,707 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.5-50.5%$3,031,471
Polymarket 🌎52.0-53.0%$1,657,745
PredictIt 🇺🇸46.6-47.6%$237,176
Betfair 🇬🇧56.0-58.3%$25,591
Smarkets 🇬🇧58.0-59.0%$4,728

53.0%

-0.4%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.5-50.5%$3,031,471
Polymarket 🌎47.0-48.0%$1,657,745
PredictIt 🇺🇸52.4-53.4%$237,176
Betfair 🇬🇧41.8-44.0%$25,591
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.7-43.2%$4,728

47.0%

0.4%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 1:50PM EDT on Apr 08, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$523,011,106 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.9-19.0%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$948,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.9%$205,707

19.3%

1.4%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.7-16.8%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.4%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸21.0-23.0%$948,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-20.4%$205,707

18.9%

3.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.5-9.6%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧6.9-9.5%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$948,828

11.1%

0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.5-5.7%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.4%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$948,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$205,707

6.3%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-3.4%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$948,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$205,707

2.9%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.9-3.1%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$948,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$205,707

2.9%

0.6%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$205,707

2.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$948,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$205,707

2.4%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-1.0%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,124,575
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$948,828
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$205,707

1.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.7%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.8%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$205,707

1.6%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.2%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$205,707

1.5%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.8%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$205,707

1.0%

0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$205,707

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$205,707

0.6%

0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$205,707

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$205,707

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$205,707

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$504,704,348
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$16,052,116
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$205,707

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$205,707

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,707

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,707

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,707

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,707

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,124,575
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$205,707

0.1%

+0.0%

23.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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