Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:42PM EDT on Aug 01, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,343,281 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.5-54.5%$6,264,141
Polymarket 🌎55.6-56.6%$3,587,215
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.6-58.5%$361,662
Betfair 🇬🇧54.0-55.2%$122,753
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.7-54.1%$7,687

55.1%

-0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.5-46.5%$6,264,141
Polymarket 🌎43.4-44.4%$3,587,215
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.0-42.9%$361,662
Betfair 🇬🇧45.0-45.8%$122,753
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.1-48.1%$7,687

44.9%

0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:39PM EDT on Aug 01, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$712,688,946 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-17.5%$244,438

19.0%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.9-13.0%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.2%$244,438

13.2%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.9-12.0%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-12.8%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.9-13.9%$244,438

12.8%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧10.9-11.4%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-11.4%$244,438

10.7%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.3-9.4%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.6-8.7%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧11.1-11.4%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.1-13.5%$244,438

10.4%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.7-4.8%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.6-2.8%$244,438

3.9%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-3.1%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$244,438

3.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$244,438

2.8%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.9-4.0%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$244,438

2.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.0%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$244,438

1.6%

-0.3%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.4%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$244,438

1.5%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,394,661
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,243,950
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$244,438

1.3%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$244,438

1.1%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$675,502,851
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$244,438

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.6%$244,438

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$244,438

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$244,438

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$244,438

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,438

0.3%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$675,502,851
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$34,303,313
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$244,438

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$244,438

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,438

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,438

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$244,438

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,394,661
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$244,438

0.1%

+0.0%

12.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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