Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:21PM EDT on Oct 15, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$22,320,075 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.6-62.6%$14,849,790
Polymarket 🌎63.0-64.0%$6,612,537
PredictIt 🇺🇸61.5-62.4%$578,701
Betfair 🇬🇧62.8-63.2%$280,303

62.6%

-1.6%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸37.4-38.4%$14,849,790
Polymarket 🌎36.0-37.0%$6,612,537
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.1-39.0%$578,701
Betfair 🇬🇧36.7-37.3%$280,303

37.4%

1.6%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 5:18PM EDT on Oct 15, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$764,622,641 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.2-21.4%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧17.5-17.9%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.2%$267,826

19.2%

-0.4%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.1-13.2%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.9-10.0%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧11.9-12.8%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-14.3%$267,826

12.2%

0.1%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.6-9.7%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-9.5%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$267,826

10.3%

-0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-9.1%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.7-10.0%$267,826

9.4%

-0.2%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.8-7.9%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.0-9.1%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.5-8.0%$267,826

8.2%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.2%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$267,826

3.5%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$267,826

3.3%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.1%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.1%$267,826

3.0%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$267,826

2.2%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$267,826

1.7%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$267,826

1.2%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.4%$1,547,927
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,393,275
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$267,826

0.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.6%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.8-0.9%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$267,826

0.8%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$716,843,192
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$267,826

0.6%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$267,826

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$267,826

0.4%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,826

0.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$716,843,192
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$44,570,580
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$267,826

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,547,927
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$267,826

0.1%

+0.0%

20.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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