Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:23PM EDT on Apr 04, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$4,637,654 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.1-50.8%$2,913,530
Polymarket 🌎51.0-52.0%$1,466,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸44.6-45.5%$229,443
Betfair 🇬🇧55.6-58.8%$24,256
Smarkets 🇬🇧55.4-60.5%$4,728

52.4%

0.1%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.5-49.7%$2,913,530
Polymarket 🌎48.0-49.0%$1,466,050
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.5-55.4%$229,443
Betfair 🇬🇧41.0-44.6%$24,256
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.6-44.5%$4,728

47.6%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:06PM EDT on Apr 04, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$506,649,733 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.9-17.1%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-18.1%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$939,837
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$199,040

19.4%

0.2%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.6-17.7%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-18.5%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.2%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$939,837
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$199,040

18.9%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.1-10.3%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.3-12.4%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$939,837

11.4%

-0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.9-6.0%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.2-5.8%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧4.8-5.4%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$939,837
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$199,040

6.2%

0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$939,837
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$199,040

2.8%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-2.6%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$939,837
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$199,040

2.8%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-2.9%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$199,040

2.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$939,837
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$199,040

2.4%

-0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,096,863
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$939,837
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$199,040

2.0%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.5%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$199,040

1.7%

0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-2.5%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.4%$199,040

1.3%

0.2%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$199,040

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$199,040

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$199,040

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$199,040

0.5%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$199,040

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$199,040

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$489,072,359
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$15,353,818
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$199,040

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$199,040

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,040

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,040

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,040

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,040

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,096,863
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$199,040

0.1%

+0.0%

23.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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