Odds update every minute | Last updated: 5:23PM EDT on Sep 20, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$14,671,702 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸58.4-59.4%$9,269,142
Polymarket 🌎60.6-61.6%$4,768,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸59.4-60.4%$453,295
Betfair 🇬🇧58.8-59.9%$180,895

59.8%

0.8%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸40.6-41.6%$9,269,142
Polymarket 🌎38.4-39.4%$4,768,563
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.6-40.6%$453,295
Betfair 🇬🇧40.0-41.3%$180,895

40.2%

-0.8%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:55PM EDT on Sep 20, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$751,786,949 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.7-20.8%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$263,336

21.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.0-13.1%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.5%$263,336

11.4%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$263,336

11.2%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.8-8.9%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.7-9.9%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$263,336

9.0%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.2%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.5-7.8%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.7-9.5%$263,336

8.4%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.6-4.7%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$263,336

3.6%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$263,336

3.2%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$263,336

3.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-2.0%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.5-2.9%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.4%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.3%$263,336

2.1%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.5%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$263,336

1.8%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.7-0.8%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$1,531,232
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,335,293
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.9%$263,336

0.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$263,336

0.8%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$263,336

0.7%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$707,291,148
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.0%$263,336

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$263,336

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$263,336

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,336

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$263,336

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,336

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.4%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$263,336

0.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$707,291,148
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$41,366,091
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$263,336

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,336

0.2%

0.1%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$263,336

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$263,336

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,531,232
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$263,336

0.1%

+0.0%

19.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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