Odds update every minute | Last updated: 6:29PM EDT on Mar 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$2,355,324 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.8-50.7%$2,355,342

50.2%

0.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸48.8-50.7%$2,355,342

49.8%

-0.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 6:06PM EDT on Mar 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$416,418,791 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎20.5-20.6%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$868,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧20.0-20.4%$185,759

20.5%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎18.0-18.1%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-19.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧18.9-19.2%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸24.0-25.0%$868,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-19.6%$185,759

19.8%

0.4%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎14.6-14.7%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧13.5-13.9%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-16.0%$868,930

15.5%

-0.5%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.5-4.7%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.4%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$868,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.9-6.1%$185,759

6.0%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.8%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$868,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$185,759

3.2%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$868,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.4%$185,759

3.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$868,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.1%$185,759

2.6%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$1,049,936
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$868,930
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$185,759

2.1%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$185,759

1.9%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$185,759

1.5%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$185,759

1.5%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.7%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.4%$185,759

0.9%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$185,759

0.7%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$185,759

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.5%$185,759

0.5%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.6%$185,759

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$185,759

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$403,246,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,140,293
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$185,759

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$185,759

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,759

0.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,759

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,759

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,759

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,049,936
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$185,759

0.1%

+0.0%

17.6%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd