Odds update every minute | Last updated: 11:45PM EDT on Aug 06, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$10,636,170 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$6,378,356
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$3,755,854
PredictIt 🇺🇸56.4-57.4%$365,747
Betfair 🇬🇧54.6-55.8%$128,526
Smarkets 🇬🇧52.1-54.7%$7,687

54.7%

0.1%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$6,378,356
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$3,755,854
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.6-43.6%$365,747
Betfair 🇬🇧44.2-45.4%$128,526
Smarkets 🇬🇧46.0-47.3%$7,687

45.3%

-0.1%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 11:27PM EDT on Aug 06, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$716,479,471 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.4-21.5%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧16.7-17.2%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-23.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$246,056

19.0%

-0.3%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎12.7-12.8%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-15.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-10.4%$246,056

12.8%

-0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.5-10.6%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.8%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸14.0-15.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.2-13.9%$246,056

12.4%

-0.2%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.7-9.8%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-11.0%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.9-11.9%$246,056

10.5%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.3-10.4%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.2-7.5%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.2%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.0-11.9%$246,056

9.6%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.2-4.3%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.3%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.5%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$246,056

3.7%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.4-2.5%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.9-3.0%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-2.6%$246,056

3.0%

+0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.6-2.7%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$246,056

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.9-2.0%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.2-2.6%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.4%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$246,056

2.6%

0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.5-3.9%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.3%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.3%$246,056

2.4%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$246,056

1.2%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.7%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,418,926
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,254,063
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$246,056

1.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.2%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.2%$246,056

1.1%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$677,962,856
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$246,056

0.9%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$246,056

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$246,056

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$246,056

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.3%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$246,056

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$246,056

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$246,056

0.2%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$677,962,856
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.1-0.2%$35,599,053
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$246,056

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$246,056

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$246,056

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$246,056

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,418,926
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$246,056

0.1%

+0.0%

14.1%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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