Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:20AM EDT on Sep 16, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$13,868,435 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$8,741,125
Polymarket 🌎57.4-58.4%$4,519,590
PredictIt 🇺🇸51.5-52.5%$435,075
Betfair 🇬🇧51.3-54.7%$172,724

54.3%

3.2%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸45.0-46.0%$8,741,125
Polymarket 🌎41.6-42.6%$4,519,590
PredictIt 🇺🇸47.5-48.5%$435,075
Betfair 🇬🇧45.5-48.6%$172,724

45.7%

-3.2%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 52-48. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 4:14AM EDT on Sep 16, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$749,874,461 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎23.0-23.1%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧19.2-19.6%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-24.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧19.2-20.0%$262,486

21.5%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.2-13.3%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸9.2-9.3%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-14.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-12.5%$262,486

11.6%

-0.0%
Ossoff details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.5-11.6%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.9%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸9.0-10.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.4-12.2%$262,486

11.0%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.7%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.1%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$262,486

9.5%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎8.2-8.3%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.7-7.9%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-10.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.4-9.1%$262,486

8.2%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.3-4.4%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-4.1%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$262,486

3.5%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.4-3.5%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-3.4%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$262,486

3.2%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.6%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-3.1%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.9%$262,486

2.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.4%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.3%$262,486

2.1%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.5%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.2-1.4%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$262,486

1.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.5%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$262,486

0.9%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-1.1%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$262,486

0.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.9%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.1%$1,531,865
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,328,638
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.0%$262,486

0.8%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$706,046,304
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$262,486

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$262,486

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$262,486

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$262,486

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$262,486

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$262,486

0.2%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$262,486

0.2%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$706,046,304
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$40,705,180
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$262,486

0.2%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$262,486

0.1%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$262,486

0.1%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$262,486

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,531,865
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$262,486

0.1%

+0.0%

19.2%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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