Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:43PM EST on Dec 01, 2022

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$2,282,564 bet so far

DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧41.7-43.5%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧41.0-42.4%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸40.0-41.0%$1,087,663$0

42.4%

0.6%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧31.7-32.3%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧32.8-34.3%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$1,087,663$0

32.2%

-0.4%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-4.2%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.3%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,087,663$0

3.9%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-4.3%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.3-4.5%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$1,087,663$0

3.9%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.8%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.6%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,087,663$0

2.0%

-0.1%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.4%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,087,663$0

1.9%

-0.3%
Crenshaw details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.5%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-1.1%$314,306$50,449

1.2%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.5%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,087,663$0

0.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,087,663$0

0.7%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.0%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,087,663$0

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,087,663$0

0.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$314,306$50,449

0.5%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,087,663$0

0.5%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,087,663$0

0.4%

-0.0%
RickScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,087,663$0

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$880,723$283,318
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$314,306$50,449
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,087,663$0

0.2%

+0.0%

7.7%




Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd