Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:32PM EDT on Jun 21, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$27,507,374 bet so far

Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸93.0-94.0%$12,755,322
Betfair 🇬🇧93.4-95.2%$8,705,501
Polymarket 🌎95.6-95.9%$5,067,005
Smarkets 🇬🇧95.2-96.2%$979,546

94.8%

0.4%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$12,755,322
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.8%$8,705,501
Polymarket 🌎0.7-1.3%$5,067,005
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$979,546

2.1%

+0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,755,322
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.2%$8,705,501
Polymarket 🌎1.3-1.7%$5,067,005
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$979,546

1.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-2.0%$12,755,322
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$8,705,501
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.6%$5,067,005
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$979,546

0.3%

-0.4%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.8%$8,705,501
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$979,546

0.2%

+0.0%
Christie details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,755,322
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.2%$8,705,501
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$979,546

0.2%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,755,322
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$8,705,501
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$979,546

0.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,755,322
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$8,705,501
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$979,546

0.1%

+0.0%

0.8%




Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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