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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$1,256,200 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸34.2-35.1%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧41.7-42.0%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧42.4-48.5%$172,302

37.0%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.2-26.1%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧16.1-16.9%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.1-16.7%$172,302

22.8%

0.2%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.2-8.1%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-9.5%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-9.5%$172,302

8.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.5-5.4%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-6.9%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-6.9%$172,302

5.5%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.6-4.5%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧3.1-3.7%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.7%$172,302

3.9%

+0.0%
TimScott details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.6-4.5%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.6%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.2%$172,302

3.1%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.7-3.6%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.9%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$172,302

2.9%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.7-3.6%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.6%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.5%$172,302

2.7%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.6%$172,302

2.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$172,302

2.3%

-0.6%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-2.4%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.7%$172,302

1.9%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$172,302

1.8%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.7%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$172,302

1.7%

+0.0%
RickScott details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$856,841
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.9%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.9%$172,302

1.1%

+0.0%
Crenshaw details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.4%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$172,302

0.9%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$227,058
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$172,302

0.8%

+0.0%

0.9%




Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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