Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:58PM EDT on Sep 26, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$6,144,272 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧69.9-70.4%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸68.1-69.1%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧73.5-76.9%$607,530

70.3%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.4-7.4%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$607,530

8.2%

-0.4%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.6%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.3-9.2%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.9%$607,530

6.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-5.0%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.3-9.2%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.3-5.4%$607,530

5.6%

-0.2%
Christie details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.3%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.7%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$607,530

1.4%

-0.1%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.8%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$607,530

1.0%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.7%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$607,530

0.8%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$607,530

0.7%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.4%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$607,530

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%$4,230,933
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$607,530

0.4%

-0.0%

4.9%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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