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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$5,972,647 bet so far

Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧65.8-66.2%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸68.0-70.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧67.1-70.4%$466,847

66.6%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-12.2%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$466,847

12.8%

0.6%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.9%$466,847

6.3%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$4,658,843
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$466,847

2.5%

0.6%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.2%$466,847

1.6%

0.1%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.3%$466,847

1.4%

-0.3%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$466,847

0.5%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$466,847

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,658,843
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$466,847

0.2%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,658,843
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$846,957
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$466,847

0.1%

+0.0%

8.0%




Books we like:

"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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