Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:17AM EDT on May 12, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$25,601,158 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸91.0-92.0%$12,732,604
Betfair 🇬🇧92.6-93.5%$8,142,819
Polymarket 🌎93.0-94.0%$3,758,462
Smarkets 🇬🇧91.7-93.5%$967,273

92.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,732,604
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$8,142,819
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.9%$3,758,462
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.7%$967,273

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$12,732,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.8%$8,142,819
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$3,758,462
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$967,273

1.1%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$12,732,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$8,142,819
Polymarket 🌎0.4-0.5%$3,758,462
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$967,273

0.6%

-0.2%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.1%$8,142,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$967,273

0.3%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,732,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.0%$8,142,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$967,273

0.2%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,732,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$8,142,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$967,273

0.1%

+0.0%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$12,732,604
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$8,142,819
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$967,273

0.1%

+0.0%

3.4%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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