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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

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Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$599,904 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧25.0-25.6%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.0-25.3%$68,572

25.2%

0.2%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧8.3-9.5%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$68,572

9.2%

1.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧6.5-6.9%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧6.7-7.1%$68,572

6.8%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-5.0%$68,572

4.4%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.6-3.3%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.5%$68,572

2.9%

-0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$68,572

2.4%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$68,572

2.3%

0.5%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.5%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$68,572

2.3%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$68,572

2.1%

0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-1.8%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$68,572

1.8%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.3%$68,572

1.3%

-0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.7%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-2.0%$68,572

1.2%

-0.9%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$68,572

1.2%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-1.2%$68,572

0.9%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.4%$68,572

0.5%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$68,572

0.5%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$68,572

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$68,572

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$68,572

0.3%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$68,572

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$68,572

0.2%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$68,572

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$531,332
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$68,572

0.2%

-0.0%

33.1%


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