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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$498,566,058 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎16.5-16.6%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.1-18.2%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-20.8%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$936,525
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.9-21.3%$198,792

19.4%

0.2%
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.7-17.8%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸18.1-18.5%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-25.0%$936,525
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$198,792

19.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.6-10.7%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸12.2-12.3%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧9.5-10.0%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸15.0-16.0%$936,525

12.0%

-0.7%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.3-6.4%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.5%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.6%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$936,525
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-6.7%$198,792

6.1%

0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-2.8%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.5%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$936,525
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$198,792

2.9%

-0.2%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.0-3.1%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-3.0%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$936,525
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$198,792

2.9%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.1%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-3.3%$198,792

2.9%

0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.3-2.5%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$936,525
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$198,792

2.6%

0.2%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.6-0.7%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.5%$1,099,666
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$936,525
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$198,792

1.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.4-1.8%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$198,792

1.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$198,792

1.2%

-0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.3-0.4%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.7%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$198,792

1.1%

-0.2%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$198,792

0.9%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.1%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$198,792

0.6%

-0.1%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$198,792

0.5%

0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$198,792

0.5%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$198,792

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$481,567,372
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$14,770,638
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,792

0.3%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$198,792

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.1%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,099,666
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$198,792

0.1%

-0.0%

22.1%


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