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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Next UK Prime MinisterSpecifically, the winner of the final Conservative leadership vote in the UK, who is nearly certain to also become prime minister.

$11,067,349 bet so far
Truss details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧96.9-97.9%$7,912,501$7,895,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧89.5-96.6%$2,945,304$2,945,304
Polymarket 🌎99.0-100.0%$226,154$226,154

96.3%

-0.1%
Sunak details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-3.8%$7,912,501$7,895,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-11.6%$2,945,304$2,945,304
Polymarket 🌎0.0-1.0%$226,154$226,154

3.5%

0.1%
Braverman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,912,501$7,895,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,945,304$2,945,304

0.0%

-0.0%
Mordaunt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,912,501$7,895,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,945,304$2,945,304
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.0%$226,154$226,154

0.0%

-0.0%
Badenoch details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,912,501$7,895,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,945,304$2,945,304
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.0%$226,154$226,154

0.0%

-0.0%
Tugendhat details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,912,501$7,895,891
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,945,304$2,945,304
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.0%$226,154$226,154

0.0%

-0.0%


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