Odds update every minute | Last updated: 2:52PM EDT on Apr 14, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$5,506,162 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸53.0-54.0%$3,314,732
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$1,908,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$250,143
Betfair 🇬🇧51.0-54.3%$27,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧51.5-55.8%$4,788

53.0%

0.5%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸46.0-47.0%$3,314,732
Polymarket 🌎45.0-46.0%$1,908,603
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.5-49.5%$250,143
Betfair 🇬🇧45.8-49.0%$27,914
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.8-48.9%$4,788

47.0%

-0.5%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 2:54PM EDT on Apr 14, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$543,006,160 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.0-19.1%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧17.9-18.2%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$972,269
Smarkets 🇬🇧17.5-18.5%$207,490

19.8%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎17.2-17.3%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧18.5-19.2%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸22.0-23.0%$972,269
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.5-19.6%$207,490

18.8%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎10.1-10.2%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.7%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.0-14.0%$972,269

11.3%

0.3%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.8-4.9%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.9-5.0%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-5.0%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$972,269
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.9%$207,490

5.7%

-0.3%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.3%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.2-3.6%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.8%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$972,269
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$207,490

3.2%

0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.4%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$207,490

3.0%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.3-3.4%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.4-3.0%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.4%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$972,269
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.4%$207,490

3.0%

-0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.8%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.4%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$972,269
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.3%$207,490

2.6%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.2%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$207,490

1.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.7%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.5-2.2%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-2.0%$207,490

1.8%

-0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.9-1.0%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧2.1-2.3%$1,148,238
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$972,269
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.1-2.2%$207,490

1.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.5%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$207,490

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.4%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.9%$207,490

1.0%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.5%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.1%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$207,490

0.6%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$207,490

0.5%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$207,490

0.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$207,490

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$524,229,925
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$16,456,632
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$207,490

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$207,490

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.1%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$1,148,238
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$207,490

0.1%

+0.0%

21.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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