Odds update every minute | Last updated: 12:30PM EDT on Jul 20, 2026

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Senate Control 2026Senate Control 2026

$9,813,257 bet so far
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸55.0-56.0%$6,070,764
Polymarket 🌎56.0-57.0%$3,261,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸60.0-61.0%$353,712
Betfair 🇬🇧53.7-55.5%$119,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧53.3-54.8%$7,630

56.2%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸44.0-45.0%$6,070,764
Polymarket 🌎43.0-44.0%$3,261,968
PredictIt 🇺🇸39.0-40.0%$353,712
Betfair 🇬🇧44.6-46.2%$119,183
Smarkets 🇬🇧45.3-46.6%$7,630

43.8%

+0.0%
Senate Seats 2026 (estimate: 51-49. Hover over states)
Current Senate is 47-53
Polymarket:
Kalshi:
PredictIt:
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 12:05PM EDT on Jul 20, 2026
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$695,340,391 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎19.8-19.9%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-17.9%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$1,217,473
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-18.5%$236,026

19.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎13.9-14.0%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧11.6-12.2%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸16.0-17.0%$1,217,473

15.0%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎11.7-11.8%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸11.0-12.0%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧12.5-12.8%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸17.0-18.0%$1,217,473
Smarkets 🇬🇧12.5-13.5%$236,026

13.3%

-0.1%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎7.9-8.1%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.6-8.7%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-8.7%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$1,217,473
Smarkets 🇬🇧8.0-9.5%$236,026

9.3%

0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.9-5.1%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.4-4.8%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,217,473
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$236,026

3.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.8-2.9%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.6%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,217,473
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.6%$236,026

2.9%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.5-1.6%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.6-4.9%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-2.8%$236,026

2.9%

-0.2%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.7-2.8%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.7-2.9%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,217,473
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$236,026

2.8%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.5%$236,026

2.3%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$236,026

2.0%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.5-0.6%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,336,804
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,217,473
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.7%$236,026

1.3%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.1%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.1-1.3%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.4%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$236,026

1.3%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.2%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$236,026

1.1%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.2-0.3%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$236,026

0.5%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$236,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.7%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$236,026

0.4%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$236,026

0.3%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.2-0.3%$665,377,215
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.4-0.6%$27,173,120
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$236,026

0.3%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$236,026

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$236,026

0.2%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$236,026

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$236,026

0.1%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$236,026

0.1%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,336,804
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$236,026

0.1%

-0.0%

19.9%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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