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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from FTX.com, Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$14,961,484 bet so far

Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
FTX 🌎26.9-27.8%$13,706,202
Betfair 🇬🇧21.3-22.2%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧21.3-22.7%$378,169
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.0-30.0%$23,074

26.9%

-0.0%
Biden details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧15.6-16.7%$378,169
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$23,074

16.3%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.4-11.1%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.2-11.1%$378,169
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$23,074

10.8%

0.4%
DeSantis details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧9.1-10.0%$378,169
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.0-19.0%$23,074

9.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.0-4.3%$378,169

4.2%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.6-4.0%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-4.0%$378,169

3.8%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.8%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-4.0%$378,169

3.7%

+0.0%
Warren details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$378,169

2.1%

+0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$378,169

1.6%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-1.8%$378,169

1.6%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.2-1.3%$378,169

1.3%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-1.3%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.5%$378,169

1.0%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.1%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.0%$378,169

0.9%

+0.0%
Cruz details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$378,169

0.8%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$378,169

0.8%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$378,169

0.7%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-0.8%$378,169

0.7%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.6%$378,169

0.4%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$378,169

0.4%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$378,169

0.3%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$854,040
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$378,169

0.2%

+0.0%

12.1%

Senate Control 2022Bets on which party will control the Senate after Nov 8, 2022 elections

$146,343 bet so far

REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸69.3-70.3%$143,003
Smarkets 🇬🇧67.6-70.9%$3,340

69.8%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.7-30.7%$143,003
Smarkets 🇬🇧29.0-32.3%$3,340

30.2%

-0.0%
House Control 2022Bets on which party will control the House after Nov 8, 2022 elections

$260,562 bet so far

REP details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸80.4-81.4%$257,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧80.0-82.6%$2,780

80.9%

-0.0%
DEM details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
PredictIt 🇺🇸18.6-19.6%$257,782
Smarkets 🇬🇧18.2-20.0%$2,780

19.1%

-0.0%
2022 Super Bowl Winner2020/2021 Super Bowl Winner

$1,694,794 bet so far

Buccaneers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧13.1-13.5%$1,694,794

13.3%

0.2%
Chiefs details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧12.2-12.5%$1,694,794

12.3%

-0.7%
Packers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.6-11.3%$1,694,794

11.0%

0.1%
Cardinals details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧10.2-10.4%$1,694,794

10.3%

+0.0%
Bills details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧8.7-9.5%$1,694,794

9.1%

-0.1%
Patriots details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧7.4-8.0%$1,694,794

7.7%

0.2%
Ravens details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧6.2-6.7%$1,694,794

6.4%

-0.0%
Rams details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.2%$1,694,794

6.1%

0.1%
Cowboys details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧5.7-6.0%$1,694,794

5.9%

0.1%
Titans details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.7%$1,694,794

3.5%

-0.0%
Bengals details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$1,694,794

2.5%

0.1%
49ers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.6%$1,694,794

2.4%

-0.0%
Colts details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.1%$1,694,794

1.9%

+0.0%
Chargers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.2%$1,694,794

1.9%

+0.0%
Vikings details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,694,794

1.0%

-0.1%
Browns details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$1,694,794

0.9%

+0.0%
Broncos details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.3%$1,694,794

0.8%

0.2%
Eagles details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.9%$1,694,794

0.7%

+0.0%
Raiders details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-0.8%$1,694,794

0.7%

-0.1%
Steelers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.7%$1,694,794

0.4%

+0.0%
Saints details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,694,794

0.3%

-0.0%
FootballTeam details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$1,694,794

0.2%

-0.0%
Dolphins details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,694,794

0.2%

+0.0%
Panthers details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,694,794

0.2%

+0.0%
Falcons details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$1,694,794

0.1%

+0.0%
Seahawks details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,694,794

0.1%

-0.0%
Bears details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,694,794

0.1%

+0.0%
Giants details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,694,794

0.1%

+0.0%
Texans details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,694,794

0.0%

-0.0%
Jets details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,694,794

0.0%

-0.0%
Jaguars details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$1,694,794

0.0%

-0.0%
Lions details
Markets   Range (Bid-Ask)   Market Volume
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-99.8%$1,694,794

0.0%

+0.0%

Books we like:

"No, They Can't"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"Random Walk"
By Burton Malkiel
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

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About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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