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Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

New Jersey Gov 2025New Jersey Governor Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$7,733,147 bet so far
Sherrill details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸76.0-77.0%$5,072,666
Polymarket 🌎79.0-80.0%$2,352,158
PredictIt 🇺🇸72.5-75.4%$310,733

76.6%

-0.4%
Ciattarelli details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$5,072,666
Polymarket 🌎20.0-21.0%$2,352,158
PredictIt 🇺🇸25.1-27.1%$310,733

23.4%

0.4%
Virginia Gov 2025Virginia Governor Election to be held on Nov 4 2025

$2,642,436 bet so far
Spanberger details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸91.0-92.0%$1,478,609
Polymarket 🌎93.6-93.9%$648,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸85.3-86.3%$515,063

90.3%

-0.6%
Sears details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Kalshi 🇺🇸8.0-9.0%$1,478,609
Polymarket 🌎6.1-6.5%$648,769
PredictIt 🇺🇸13.7-14.7%$515,063

9.7%

0.6%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$71,213,731 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎28.0-29.0%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸30.0-32.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧27.8-28.2%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸32.0-33.0%$320,422
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.7-28.6%$105,264

29.5%

0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎22.0-23.0%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸20.0-21.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧17.2-18.2%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸27.0-28.0%$320,422
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-19.2%$105,264

21.2%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧5.1-5.6%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$320,422
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-5.9%$105,264

6.1%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.4%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$320,422

3.2%

-0.5%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.3-2.4%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧2.3-2.6%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$320,422
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$105,264

2.8%

-0.0%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.8%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$320,422
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.5%$105,264

2.4%

-0.1%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.9%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$105,264

2.3%

-0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.7%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.8%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$320,422
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$105,264

2.1%

-0.3%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-1.9%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.2%$663,391
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$320,422
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-0.9%$105,264

1.7%

-0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.3%$105,264

1.6%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-2.0%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.4-1.8%$105,264

1.4%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$105,264

0.9%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-1.3%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$105,264

0.7%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.7%$105,264

0.7%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$105,264

0.7%

+0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.7%$105,264

0.6%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$68,543,950
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,584,393
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$105,264

0.4%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$105,264

0.4%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$105,264

0.3%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$105,264

0.3%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$105,264

0.2%

+0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$105,264

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$105,264

0.2%

-0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$663,391
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$105,264

0.2%

+0.0%

19.7%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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