Odds update every minute | Last updated: 1:56AM EDT on Apr 18, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of winning...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$138,308,964 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧41.7-42.4%$18,117,604
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.5-51.5%$4,471,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.1-44.3%$2,863,838

45.3%

-0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎44.0-45.0%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧43.1-43.5%$18,117,604
PredictIt 🇺🇸43.7-44.7%$4,471,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧43.1-43.5%$2,863,838

43.8%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.4-4.5%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧3.4-3.6%$18,117,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.9-3.5%$2,863,838

3.7%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.4-1.6%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-3.3%$18,117,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.3-3.3%$2,863,838

2.5%

-0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.2%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-1.4%$18,117,604
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-3.9%$4,471,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.2%$2,863,838

1.9%

-0.0%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.4%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-1.7%$18,117,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-1.3%$2,863,838

1.0%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.3-0.6%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$18,117,604
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.0-1.3%$2,863,838

0.9%

-0.0%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.5-0.6%$112,855,879
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$18,117,604
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$4,471,643
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$2,863,838

0.6%

+0.0%

0.3%



Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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