Odds update every minute | Last updated: 3:42AM EDT on Oct 07, 2024

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$1,502,430,388 bet so far
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎48.2-48.3%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧49.5-50.0%$101,884,102
PredictIt 🇺🇸50.9-51.9%$37,952,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧50.5-51.3%$7,197,468
Kalshi 🇺🇸50.0-51.0%$591,227

50.2%

-0.2%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎50.7-50.8%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧48.5-49.0%$101,884,102
PredictIt 🇺🇸48.0-49.0%$37,952,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧47.6-48.1%$7,197,468
Kalshi 🇺🇸49.0-50.0%$591,227

49.1%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,884,102
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$7,197,468

0.1%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$101,884,102
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$7,197,468
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$591,227

0.1%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.1%$101,884,102
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,197,468

0.1%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.1-0.2%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,884,102
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,952,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,197,468

0.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,884,102
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,197,468

0.1%

+0.0%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.0-0.1%$1,355,548,950
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$101,884,102
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$37,952,401
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$7,197,468

0.0%

+0.0%

0.2%
Electoral Votes 2024 (estimate: 257-281. Hover over states)
270 electoral votes needed to win
State election odds update every 20 minutes. Last updated: 3:24AM EDT on Oct 07, 2024
Over $5 million bet. State betting is from Polymarket. Others to be added if liquid state market available.
House Control 2024House Control 2024

$691,786 bet so far
DEM details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎62.0-63.0%$671,786
Kalshi 🇺🇸61.0-64.0%$20,000

62.5%

+0.0%
REP details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎37.0-38.0%$671,786
Kalshi 🇺🇸36.0-39.0%$20,000

37.5%

+0.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

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