Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:23AM EDT on May 29, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$3,446,894 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧70.4-71.4%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧73.5-75.8%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸71.4-72.4%$538,083$5,855

71.1%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.1-6.3%$262,574$46,450

5.7%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.2-6.3%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-5.0%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸10.5-11.4%$538,083$5,855

5.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.7-4.3%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.5-4.2%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.7-7.6%$538,083$5,855

4.0%

-0.1%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.4-2.2%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.4%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-3.8%$538,083$5,855

1.8%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.3%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.5%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.9-4.8%$538,083$5,855

1.0%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$538,083$5,855

0.3%

-0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-4.8%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-3.7%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$538,083$5,855

0.3%

-0.1%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.4%$262,574$46,450

0.1%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$262,574$46,450
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-1.9%$538,083$5,855

0.1%

+0.0%
Yang details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$2,646,244$1,142,453
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$262,574$46,450

0.1%

+0.0%

10.4%
GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$4,759,847 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧64.1-64.9%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧67.1-67.6%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸53.2-55.0%$1,087,917$0

64.6%

1.4%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧24.4-25.6%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧22.7-26.7%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.3-31.2%$1,087,917$0

25.0%

-0.1%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.7-2.9%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.4-7.3%$1,087,917$0

2.3%

+0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.6%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-3.1%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.7-4.6%$1,087,917$0

2.0%

-0.1%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-2.4%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.4%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.7%$1,087,917$0

1.3%

-0.1%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-2.0%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$1,087,917$0

1.0%

0.2%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$3,209,500$1,978,375

0.9%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.7%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.9%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.3%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.7%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.9%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.4%

0.3%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.8%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.4%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.8%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,430$91,762

0.4%

0.4%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.5%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.3%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.1%

+0.0%
RickScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.1%

+0.0%
Crenshaw details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$462,430$91,762

0.1%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-3.3%$3,209,500$1,978,375
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$462,430$91,762
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,087,917$0

0.0%

+0.0%
US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$5,994,338 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧37.0-37.3%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧39.1-39.7%$1,497,071$106,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸41.7-42.7%$90,717$16,604

37.4%

-0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧26.3-26.7%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧25.6-27.8%$1,497,071$106,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸29.4-31.3%$90,717$16,604

26.5%

0.2%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧14.7-15.6%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧13.5-16.7%$1,497,071$106,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.7-24.6%$90,717$16,604

15.3%

-0.2%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.0-5.3%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.2-5.0%$1,497,071$106,506

5.1%

0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.7-2.0%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,497,071$106,506

1.8%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.1%$1,497,071$106,506
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.8%$90,717$16,604

1.8%

0.1%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.5-2.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$1,497,071$106,506

1.8%

0.2%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.8%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-2.0%$1,497,071$106,506

1.0%

-0.6%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$4,406,550$1,427,164

0.7%

0.1%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.9%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.8%$1,497,071$106,506

0.6%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-0.7%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.6%$1,497,071$106,506

0.6%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.7%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$1,497,071$106,506

0.4%

+0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.6%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,497,071$106,506

0.3%

-0.0%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$1,497,071$106,506

0.2%

+0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-24.4%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

+0.0%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet     Quarterly $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,406,550$1,427,164
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.2%$1,497,071$106,506

0.1%

-0.0%

5.7%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd