Odds update every minute | Last updated: 9:24PM EDT on Sep 26, 2023

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2024Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$5,965,561 bet so far
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧65.8-66.2%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸68.0-69.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧67.1-70.4%$466,847

66.6%

-0.5%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧11.4-11.9%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸19.0-20.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧10.6-11.1%$466,847

12.7%

1.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.9-6.3%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.4-6.9%$466,847

6.3%

-0.1%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$4,652,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.6%$466,847

2.5%

0.6%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.3-2.0%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.3%$466,847

1.6%

0.1%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.3%$466,847

1.4%

-0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-0.4%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.5%$466,847

0.5%

-0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$466,847

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$4,652,336
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$466,847

0.2%

+0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$4,652,336
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$846,382
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$466,847

0.1%

+0.0%

8.1%
GOP Nomination 2024GOP Nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2024

$6,142,878 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧69.9-70.4%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸68.1-69.1%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧73.5-76.9%$607,530

70.3%

-0.1%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧8.0-9.1%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.4-7.4%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-9.5%$607,530

8.2%

-0.4%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧5.4-5.6%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.3-9.2%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.0-5.9%$607,530

6.2%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-5.0%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸8.3-9.2%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧4.3-5.4%$607,530

5.6%

-0.2%
Christie details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.3%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.8-3.7%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.6-0.9%$607,530

1.4%

-0.1%
TimScott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.2-1.2%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.8-2.8%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-1.4%$607,530

1.0%

-0.1%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.7%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.4-0.5%$607,530

0.8%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-1.0%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.9-1.8%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.8%$607,530

0.7%

-0.0%
Pompeo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.4%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$607,530

0.5%

+0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.0-1.3%$4,229,539
PredictIt 🇺🇸0.0-0.9%$1,305,809
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.1%$607,530

0.4%

-0.0%

4.9%
US Presidency 2024Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2024

$8,745,872 bet so far
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧33.8-34.0%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧34.3-35.2%$1,772,472
PredictIt 🇺🇸37.0-38.0%$150,592

34.1%

0.6%
Biden details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧29.0-29.4%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧32.3-33.3%$1,772,472
PredictIt 🇺🇸42.0-43.0%$150,592

30.2%

-0.8%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧7.7-8.3%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧7.1-8.7%$1,772,472

8.0%

0.9%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.5-4.8%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-4.8%$1,772,472

4.4%

-0.1%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧4.3-4.5%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.9-5.0%$1,772,472

4.4%

0.4%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.4%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.8-3.7%$1,772,472
PredictIt 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$150,592

3.4%

-0.1%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧3.3-3.4%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧3.1-3.9%$1,772,472

3.4%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.9-3.3%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.5-3.3%$1,772,472

3.1%

0.1%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.8-2.9%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.4-3.3%$1,772,472
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$150,592

2.9%

0.1%
Warren details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$6,822,808
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.1%$1,772,472

1.0%

+0.0%

5.0%

Books we like:
"Give Me A Break"
By John Stossel
"Signal and the Noise"
By Nate Silver
"The Scout Mindset"
By Julia Galef
"Radical"
By Maajid Nawaz
"In Order To Live"
By Yeonmi Park

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd