Odds update every minute | Last updated: 4:10PM EDT on Oct 02, 2025

Election Betting Odds

By Maxim Lott and John Stossel

Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet

Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet.

Chance of...

DEM Nomination 2028Democratic nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$82,433,631 bet so far
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎36.0-38.0%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸33.0-34.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸31.0-32.0%$503,691

34.0%

0.2%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎9.0-11.0%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸10.0-11.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸12.0-13.0%$503,691

11.0%

-0.2%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎5.0-6.0%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$503,691

6.8%

+0.0%
Moore details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.1-4.4%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$503,691

5.1%

-0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.9-4.1%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$503,691

5.0%

-0.1%
Beshear details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.5-3.9%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$503,691

4.2%

+0.0%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.1-3.3%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$503,691

4.1%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.7-3.9%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$503,691

3.9%

+0.0%
Pritzker details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.2%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$11,363,632
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$503,691

3.3%

+0.0%
Cuban details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,363,632

1.2%

-0.0%
Warnock details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.6-0.7%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$11,363,632

1.1%

+0.0%
Fetterman details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,363,632

0.5%

+0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,363,632

0.4%

-0.0%
Walz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,363,632

0.4%

+0.0%
Cooper details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$70,566,308
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$11,363,632

0.4%

+0.0%

18.5%
GOP Nomination 2028Republican nominee for the Presidential election to be held on Nov 5 2028

$28,142,304 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎54.0-55.0%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸52.0-53.0%$3,611,394
PredictIt 🇺🇸54.0-55.0%$228,151

53.8%

+0.0%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.7-6.8%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$3,611,394
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$228,151

6.9%

+0.0%
Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-4.2%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$3,611,394
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$228,151

4.7%

0.3%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎3.2-3.3%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$3,611,394
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$228,151

4.6%

+0.0%
Youngkin details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.6-1.8%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$3,611,394
PredictIt 🇺🇸5.0-6.0%$228,151

3.6%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.8-2.0%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$3,611,394

2.2%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$228,151

1.6%

-0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.4%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.4%

-0.0%
Kemp details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.0-1.4%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394
PredictIt 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$228,151

1.4%

-0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.1-1.3%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.4%

-0.1%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.9-1.0%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.2%

-0.0%
Gaetz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.2%

-0.0%
Donalds details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.2%

-0.0%
SHSanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.1%

+0.0%
Abbott details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.1%

+0.0%
Stefanik details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.1%

+0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$3,611,394

1.1%

+0.0%
Britt details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.8-0.9%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,611,394

0.4%

+0.0%
Musk details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$24,316,683
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$3,611,394

0.4%

+0.0%

9.5%
US Presidency 2028Winner of Presidential election held on Nov 5 2028

$34,776,622 bet so far
Vance details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎27.0-28.0%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸31.0-33.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧26.7-27.8%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸33.0-34.0%$286,516
Smarkets 🇬🇧26.3-29.0%$97,453

29.6%

-0.3%
Newsom details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎21.0-22.0%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸19.0-21.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧16.9-17.5%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸23.0-24.0%$286,516
Smarkets 🇬🇧16.7-18.5%$97,453

20.0%

-0.0%
Cortez details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎6.0-7.0%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸6.0-7.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧5.3-5.4%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸7.0-8.0%$286,516
Smarkets 🇬🇧5.3-5.9%$97,453

6.3%

0.1%
Rubio details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎4.0-5.0%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.8%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$286,516

3.7%

+0.0%
Buttigieg details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.5-2.8%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-2.9%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸3.0-4.0%$286,516
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$97,453

2.9%

0.1%
Whitmer details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.1-2.5%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧1.2-1.8%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸4.0-5.0%$286,516
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.1-2.1%$97,453

2.5%

0.1%
Shapiro details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.7-1.8%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧2.4-2.8%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$286,516
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$97,453

2.3%

+0.0%
I_Trump details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧2.2-2.5%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$97,453

2.2%

+0.0%
Harris details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎2.0-2.1%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸2.0-3.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧1.0-1.1%$642,088
PredictIt 🇺🇸2.0-4.0%$286,516
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.3%$97,453

1.9%

0.1%
Trump_Jr details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧2.0-2.2%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$97,453

1.7%

0.4%
DeSantis details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎1.2-1.3%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸1.0-2.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧1.8-2.2%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧2.0-2.1%$97,453

1.7%

-0.0%
Haley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧1.1-1.8%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧1.5-2.0%$97,453

1.0%

-0.0%
Obama details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.5-1.1%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.8-1.2%$97,453

0.9%

+0.0%
Kennedy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-1.1%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.7-1.1%$97,453

0.8%

-0.0%
Carlson details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.4-1.0%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-1.0%$97,453

0.7%

-0.0%
Cotton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.6-0.8%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.5-0.6%$97,453

0.6%

+0.0%
Pence details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-1.0%$97,453

0.4%

+0.0%
Ramaswamy details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Polymarket 🌎0.7-0.8%$32,288,452
Kalshi 🇺🇸0.0-1.0%$1,463,260
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.3-0.6%$97,453

0.4%

-0.0%
Hawley details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.5%$97,453

0.3%

-0.0%
Noem details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.5%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$97,453

0.3%

+0.0%
Sanders details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$97,453

0.2%

-0.1%
Cruz details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.3-0.4%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.0-0.3%$97,453

0.2%

-0.0%
Clinton details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.3%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.2-0.3%$97,453

0.2%

-0.0%
Cuomo details
Markets     Range (Bid-Ask)     Total $ Bet
Betfair 🇬🇧0.1-0.2%$642,088
Smarkets 🇬🇧0.1-0.4%$97,453

0.2%

-0.0%

18.8%

About these odds and FAQ | By Maxim Lott and John Stossel | Odds update every minute

|

Copyright 2022, FTX Trading Ltd